机构看金市：9月18日

新华财经

09/18

•新湖期货：此次未超市场预期下的降息表态可能会使黄金有一定回调压力•铜冠金源期货：短期市场继续消化美联储释放的信号金银价格将呈震荡偏弱走势•广州期货：进入宽松周期后利率下行的环境长期角度仍相对利好贵金属表现•法国兴业银行：预计明年黄金均价约达每盎司4128美元•美国银行：贵金属市场上涨趋势并未改变【机构分析】•新湖期货表示，美联储在今日凌晨召开的议息会议上以25个bp重启降息，符合市场预期但...

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14:13","share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/9a95c1376e76363c1401fee7d3717173","id":"2568425040","market":"hk","top_or_hot":-1,"title":"机构看金市：9月18日","media":"新华财经","content":"<div>\n<p>•新湖期货：此次未超市场预期下的降息表态可能会使黄金有一定回调压力•铜冠金源期货：短期市场继续消化美联储释放的信号 金银价格将呈震荡偏弱走势•广州期货：进入宽松周期后 利率下行的环境长期角度仍相对利好贵金属表现•法国兴业银行：预计明年黄金均价约达每盎司4128美元•美国银行：贵金属市场上涨趋势并未改变【机构分析】•新湖期货表示，美联储在今日凌晨召开的议息会议上以25个bp重启降息，符合市场预期但...</p>\n\n<a href=\"http://gu.qq.com/resources/shy/news/detail-v2/index.html#/?id=nesSN202509181413359535c419&s=b\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"tencent","html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>机构看金市：9月18日</title>\n<style 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href=\"http://gu.qq.com/resources/shy/news/detail-v2/index.html#/?id=nesSN202509181413359535c419&s=b\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","isBrief":false,"type":0,"news_type":1,"symbol":"HK0000306701.USD","symbol_name":"TAIKANG KAITAI CHINA NEW OPPORTUNITIES FUND \"A\" (USD) INC","start_time":0,"source_url":"http://gu.qq.com/resources/shy/news/detail-v2/index.html#/?id=nesSN202509181413359535c419&s=b","article_id":"2568425040","we_media_id":null,"thumbnails":[],"rights":{"source":"tencent","url":"http://gu.qq.com/resources/shy/news/detail-v2/index.html#/?id=nesSN202509181413359535c419&s=b","rn_cache_url":null,"customStyle":"body{padding-top:10px;}#news_title{font-weight:bold;#titleStyle#;}#news_description span{font-size:12px;#descriptionStyle#;}.footer-note{#statement#}","selectors":".mod-LoadTzbdNews, body","filters":".relate-stock, .hot-list, .recom-box, .wx-sou","directOrigin":true},"url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2568425040","pubTimestamp":1758175993,"columns":[],"sourceInfo":{"source_id":"tencent","name":"腾讯"},"weMediaInfo":null,"summary":"短期来看，当前市场认为美联储将在年内10月和12月各降息25个基点，此次未超市场预期下的降息表态，可能会使得黄金有一定的回调压力。预计短期市场将继续消化美联储释放的信号，金银价格将呈震荡偏弱走势。广州期货表示，美联储如期降息25个基点，为年内首次降息，也是时隔9个月后重启降息。贵金属市场上涨趋势并未改变。","collect":0,"end_time":0,"defaultTopTitle":"qq.com","property":[],"viewcount":null,"language":"zh","relate_stocks":{"HK0000306701.USD":"TAIKANG KAITAI CHINA NEW OPPORTUNITIES FUND \"A\" (USD) INC","LU1831875114.USD":"SCHRODER ISF ALL CHINA EQUITY \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU1303224171.USD":"NINETY ONE GSF ALL CHINA EQUITY \"A\" (USD) INC","LU1504937902.USD":"CT (LUX) I ASIAN EQUITY INCOME \"DUP\" (EUR) INC","LU1961090484.USD":"ALLIANZ ALL CHINA EQUITY \"A\" (USD) INC","LU2097828557.USD":"AZ EQUITY CHINA \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU1719994722.HKD":"NINETY ONE GSF ALL CHINA EQUITY \"A\" (HKD) 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ACC","LU0061477393.USD":"CT (LUX) I ASIA EQUITY INCOME \"AU\" (USD) ACC","HK0000320223.HKD":"TAIKANG KAITAI CHINA NEW OPPORTUNITIES FUND \"A\" (HKD) ACC","02899":"紫金矿业","LU0326950275.SGD":"Schroder ISF China Opportunities A Acc SGD-H"},"translate_title":"Institutions look at the gold market: September 18","themeId":null,"isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":null,"symbols_score_info":{"02899":0.9,"06693":0.9},"content_text":"•新湖期货：此次未超市场预期下的降息表态可能会使黄金有一定回调压力•铜冠金源期货：短期市场继续消化美联储释放的信号 金银价格将呈震荡偏弱走势•广州期货：进入宽松周期后 利率下行的环境长期角度仍相对利好贵金属表现•法国兴业银行：预计明年黄金均价约达每盎司4128美元•美国银行：贵金属市场上涨趋势并未改变【机构分析】•新湖期货表示，美联储在今日凌晨召开的议息会议上以25个bp重启降息，符合市场预期但总体偏向谨慎，特朗普新任命的米兰投下唯一的反对票，主张降息50个基点。从鲍威尔的新闻发布会来看，他强调了美国就业的风险，同时认为关税对通胀的影响将会是一次性的，本次属于风险管理型降息，整体风格偏向鹰派。美元指数先跌后涨，黄金先涨后跌，部分资金获利了结导致金价回调。短期来看，当前市场认为美联储将在年内10月和12月各降息25个基点，此次未超市场预期下的降息表态，可能会使得黄金有一定的回调压力。中长期来看，央行购金具有持续性，叠加全球货币的泛滥和去美元化趋势，将继续支撑金价中枢上行，后续黄金可能仍偏强。•铜冠金源期货表示，美联储在此次议息会议上如期降息25BP，利多兑现投资资金获利了结，金银价格出现回调。FOMC声明，承认劳动力市场走弱，提及通胀上行；点阵图显示年内预计还降息两次，明年预计降息一次；美联储主席鲍威尔表示，就业增长已放缓，就业下行风险上升，劳动力市场不如以前活跃，略有疲软；通胀最近有所上升，仍略微偏高。美联储给出的信号鹰鸽参半，主要资产震荡。预计短期市场将继续消化美联储释放的信号，金银价格将呈震荡偏弱走势。•广州期货表示，美联储如期降息25个基点，为年内首次降息，也是时隔9个月后重启降息。降息预期落地，没有指向超预期宽松的表态，预期转现实后贵金属价格小幅回调。进入宽松周期后，利率下行的环境长期角度仍相对利好贵金属表现。•法国兴业银行表示，由于美联储在高企且顽固的通胀背景下实施降息，将通过两种方式增强对投资组合的保护，其一将黄金超配仓位增至最大超配水平（提升3个百分点至10%），这意味着黄金现已成为多资产投资组合中唯一直接配置的大宗商品：其二将美国通胀挂钩债券维持在5%的最高配置水平。展望今年最后三个月，预计金价将徘徊在每盎司3825美元左右，明年均价约达每盎司4128美元。从资产配置视角出发，在美元主导地位受挑战的背景下审视黄金，可以看到支撑黄金的关键驱动因素依然牢固。随着利率下降和通胀高企推动实际收益率走低，金价将继续获得有力支撑，这将增强黄金作为替代性价值储存手段的需求。•美国银行认为，尽管黄金短期内看似超买，但在美联储准备于通胀压力高企背景下降息的环境中，市场仍将获得良好支撑。随着投资者对全球财政前景挑战和债务负担加重的担忧，黄金也获得强劲的避险买盘支撑。各国央行的持续购买、从美元转向多元化配置、地缘局势和贸易摩擦下坚韧的避险需求以及美元的普遍疲软等因素总体上仍然支撑贵金属市场。贵金属市场上涨趋势并未改变。但由于近期大幅上涨之后，再加上本次降息没有超出预期，市场不排除会震荡调整。编辑：吴郑思","kind":"news","is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":false,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"0","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":1,"need_auth":false,"code":"91000000","status":"200"}}}