AUD/USD to Trade Above 0.70 Before Crunch Comes -- Market Talk

Dow Jones

2025/09/23

0431 GMT - AUD/USD is on track to rise from 0.66 now to fair value at 0.72 over the coming quarters, in large part because of a decrease in the U.S. dollar, says Joe Capurso, economist at CBA. Still, AUD/USD won't sustainably trade above its long run average of 0.75 in the first half of 2026, he adds. China's economy will expand below potential again in 2026. And even if China announces a stimulus package before the year-end, the structural issues in property, banking and demography will hold back demand for metals. Prices for iron ore, oil and gas are set to decrease further, Capurso adds. (james.glynn@wsj.com; X @JamesGlynnWSJ)

(END) Dow Jones Newswires

September 23, 2025 00:31 ET (04:31 GMT)

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Still, AUD/USD won't sustainably trade above its long run average of 0.75 in the first half of 2026, he adds. China's economy will expand below potential again in 2026. And even if China announces a stimulus package before the year-end, the structural issues in property, banking and demography will hold back demand for metals. Prices for iron ore, oil and gas are set to decrease further, Capurso adds. (james.glynn@wsj.com; X @JamesGlynnWSJ) \n</p>\n<pre style=\"white-space: pre\">\n \n</pre>\n<p>\n  (END) Dow Jones Newswires\n</p>\n<p>\n  September 23, 2025 00:31 ET (04:31 GMT)\n</p>\n<p>\n  Copyright (c) 2025 Dow Jones &amp; Company, Inc.\n</p>\n</font>","source":null,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>AUD/USD to Trade Above 0.70 Before Crunch Comes -- Market Talk</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAUD/USD to Trade Above 0.70 Before Crunch Comes -- Market Talk\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Dow Jones </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2025-09-23 12:31</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<font class=\"NormalMinus1\" face=\"Arial\">\n<p>\n     0431 GMT - AUD/USD is on track to rise from 0.66 now to fair value at 0.72 over the coming quarters, in large part because of a decrease in the U.S. dollar, says Joe Capurso, economist at CBA. Still, AUD/USD won't sustainably trade above its long run average of 0.75 in the first half of 2026, he adds. China's economy will expand below potential again in 2026. And even if China announces a stimulus package before the year-end, the structural issues in property, banking and demography will hold back demand for metals. Prices for iron ore, oil and gas are set to decrease further, Capurso adds. (james.glynn@wsj.com; X @JamesGlynnWSJ) \n</p>\n<pre style=\"white-space: pre\">\n \n</pre>\n<p>\n  (END) Dow Jones Newswires\n</p>\n<p>\n  September 23, 2025 00:31 ET (04:31 GMT)\n</p>\n<p>\n  Copyright (c) 2025 Dow Jones &amp; Company, Inc.\n</p>\n</font>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","isBrief":false,"type":0,"news_type":1,"symbol":"USD","symbol_name":"ProShares Ultra Semiconductors","start_time":0,"source_url":"https://dowjonesnews.com/newdjn/logon.aspx?AL=N","article_id":"2569765797","we_media_id":"106","thumbnails":[],"rights":null,"url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2569765797","pubTimestamp":1758601860,"columns":[],"sourceInfo":null,"weMediaInfo":{"media_name":"Dow Jones","introduction":"Dow Jones publishes the world’s most trusted business news and financial information in a variety of media.","home_visible":0,"id":"106","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99"},"summary":"0431 GMT - AUD/USD is on track to rise from 0.66 now to fair value at 0.72 over the coming quarters, in large part because of a decrease in the U.S. dollar, says Joe Capurso, economist at CBA. Still, AUD/USD won't sustainably trade above its long run average of 0.75 in the first half of 2026, he adds. China's economy will expand below potential again in 2026. And even if China announces a stimulus package before the year-end, the structural issues in property, banking and demography will hold back demand for metals. Prices for iron ore, oil and gas are set to decrease further, Capurso adds. ","collect":0,"end_time":0,"defaultTopTitle":"","property":[],"viewcount":null,"language":"en","relate_stocks":{"USD":"ProShares Ultra Semiconductors"},"translate_title":"在危机到来之前，澳元/美元将突破0.70——市场讨论","themeId":null,"isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":null,"symbols_score_info":{"USD":1.5,"AUDUSD.FOREX":1.5},"content_text":"0431 GMT - AUD/USD is on track to rise from 0.66 now to fair value at 0.72 over the coming quarters, in large part because of a decrease in the U.S. dollar, says Joe Capurso, economist at CBA. Still, AUD/USD won't sustainably trade above its long run average of 0.75 in the first half of 2026, he adds. China's economy will expand below potential again in 2026. And even if China announces a stimulus package before the year-end, the structural issues in property, banking and demography will hold back demand for metals. Prices for iron ore, oil and gas are set to decrease further, Capurso adds. (james.glynn@wsj.com; X @JamesGlynnWSJ) \n\n\n \n\n\n  (END) Dow Jones Newswires\n\n\n  September 23, 2025 00:31 ET (04:31 GMT)\n\n\n  Copyright (c) 2025 Dow Jones & Company, Inc.","kind":"highlight","is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":false,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"0","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":0,"need_auth":true,"code":"91000000","status":"200"}}}