Teck slashes copper forecast as Anglo stands firm on $53B merger

Mining

2025/10/08

Teck Resources (TSX: TECK.A, TECK.B)(NYSE: TECK) has lowered its copper production guidance for 2025 after persistent setbacks at its Quebrada Blanca (QB) mine in Chile and Highland Valley Copper (HVC...

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Annual production guidance for 2025 has been cut to between 170,000 and 190,000 tonnes, down from 210,000–230,000 tonnes, after extended downtime to raise the tailings dam crest. \nForecast output for 2026 has also been reduced to 200,000–235,000 tonnes from an earlier 280,000–310,000 tonnes.\nThe Vancouver-based said ongoing tailings management facility (TMF) development continues to restrict output and will cause additional concentrator downtime through 2025, particularly in the third quarter. Net cash unit costs for 2025 are now projected between $2.65 and $3.00 per pound, up from previous guidance of $2.25–$2.45. Costs are expected to ease to $2.25–$2.70 per pound in 2026 as production improves.\nHighland Valley Copper. (Image courtesy of Teck.)\n\nThe company added that optimization work at QB, expected to increase throughput by 5–10%, will be delayed beyond 2027–2028 due to continued TMF development and downtime in 2026. Teck warned that if efforts to improve sand drainage or advance TMF construction fall short, production in 2026 and 2027 could face further disruptions.\nQB has long been central to Teck’s growth plans, but the mine has been mired in difficulties since its overhaul, running more than 80% over budget and years behind schedule. In addition to cost overruns, the project has faced pit and plant instability, a ship-loader outage, and waste storage issues.\nAt HVC in British Columbia, lower grades and maintenance prompted Teck to trim its 2025 copper output guidance to 120,000–130,000 tonnes from 135,000–150,000 tonnes. The company said the rest of its assets should perform broadly in line with earlier forecasts.\nProven approach\nAnglo American said in a separate statement that it “fully supported” Teck’s updated outlook, calling the revisions consistent with the findings of its comprehensive operational review.\nThe mining giant reaffirmed that the merger’s strategic rationale, including synergy estimates and timing, remains unchanged.\nAnglo also backed Teck’s more measured approach to QB’s ramp-up, noting that its own technical and project delivery teams had successfully addressed similar issues during the commissioning of Quellaveco in Peru.\nDespite QB’s slower expansion, Teck maintained that the mine’s underlying potential “remains intact” and that synergies with Anglo’s nearby Collahuasi mine could unlock additional value. \nA 15-km (9.3-mile) conveyor would be built to feed Collahuasi’s high-quality ore into QB’s new processing plants. (Click on map to enlarge)\nTeck emphasized that QB is capable of operating at design levels, achieving recovery rates of 86% to 92%, when TMF development is not a constraint.\nTeck president and CEO Jonathan Price said the updated plan reflected “realistic performance assumptions and risk assessments”.\nAnglo reaffirmed expectations that the merger will deliver an average annual EBITDA uplift of $1.4 billion from combining QB and Collahuasi, along with $800 million in recurring synergies, creating a stronger, more resilient copper producer.","kind":"highlight","is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":false,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"-1","news_tag":"dataReport,merge","news_rank":0,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":0,"need_auth":false,"code":"91000000","status":"200"}}}