Overview
OPAL Fuels Q3 2025 revenue declined 1% yr/yr, missing analyst expectations
Adjusted EBITDA for Q3 slightly beats analyst expectations
RNG production increased 30% yr/yr, reflecting operational growth
Outlook
OPAL Fuels maintains full-year 2025 guidance despite lower D3 RIN prices
Company expects to recognize 45Z production tax credits in Q4
OPAL Fuels sees positive policy environment supporting RNG
Result Drivers
RNG PRODUCTION INCREASE - RNG production rose 8% sequentially and 30% yr/yr, contributing to operational growth
PROJECT EXPANSION - Atlantic RNG Project commenced operations; CMS RNG Project construction began, adding capacity
TAX CREDITS - Completed fourth sale of IRA Investment Tax Credits, generating over $40 mln in gross proceeds this year
Key Details
Metric | Beat/Miss | Actual | Consensus Estimate |
Q3 Revenue | Miss | $83.36 mln | $93.07 mln (5 Analysts) |
Q3 Net Income | $11.39 mln | ||
Q3 Adjusted EBITDA | Slight Beat* | $19.46 mln | $19.36 mln (6 Analysts) |
*Applies to a deviation of less than 1%; not applicable for per-share numbers.
Analyst Coverage
The current average analyst rating on the shares is "hold" and the breakdown of recommendations is 3 "strong buy" or "buy", 3 "hold" and 1 "sell" or "strong sell"
The average consensus recommendation for the oil & gas exploration and production peer group is "hold"
Wall Street's median 12-month price target for Opal Fuels Inc is $3.50, about 42.3% above its November 6 closing price of $2.02
The stock recently traded at 3 times the next 12-month earnings vs. a P/E of 4 three months ago
Press Release: ID:nBw8LyTjya
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(This story was created using Reuters automation and AI based on LSEG and company data. It was checked and edited by a Reuters journalist prior to publication.)