Savers Value Village (SVV) Valuation After Insider Selling and New Credit Agreement

Simply Wall St.

2025/12/26

Significant insider selling by President and COO Tanious Jubran at Savers Value Village (SVV), along with a new credit agreement, has put the thrifter’s balance sheet and leadership confidence under a...

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The year to date share price return of negative 7.89 percent and...","collect":0,"end_time":0,"defaultTopTitle":"simplywall.st","property":[],"viewcount":null,"language":"en","relate_stocks":{"SVV":"Savers Value Village, Inc.","DCF":"Dreyfus Alcentra Global Credit Income 2024 Target Term Fund, Inc","BK4220":"综合零售","BK4114":"综合货品商店"},"translate_title":"内幕出售和新信贷协议后Savers Value Village(SVV)估值","themeId":null,"isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":null,"symbols_score_info":{"SVV":1.5,"DCF":1},"content_text":"Significant insider selling by President and COO Tanious Jubran at Savers Value Village (SVV), along with a new credit agreement, has put the thrifter’s balance sheet and leadership confidence under a sharper investor microscope. See our latest analysis for Savers Value Village. Against that backdrop, Savers Value Village’s 1 month share price return of 14.55 percent looks like a short term rebound within a more cautious trend. The year to date share price return of negative 7.89 percent and 1 year total shareholder return of negative 7.8 percent underscore that momentum has faded since earlier highs, as investors reassess growth potential versus balance sheet risk at a last close of 9.45 dollars. If this kind of mixed signal has you reassessing your watchlist, it could be a good time to explore fast growing stocks with high insider ownership as potential fresh ideas. With the stock still trading at a steep discount to analyst targets despite strong revenue growth, but negative net income and tight cash flow, the key question is whether this is a contrarian entry point or if markets are already pricing in future growth. Most Popular Narrative: 34% Undervalued With Savers Value Village shares last closing at 9.45 dollars against a widely followed fair value of about 14.22 dollars, the narrative leans toward sizable upside driven by growth and margin recovery expectations. The normalization of store level cost structures as new locations mature (with management clarifying near term margin pressures as transitory and margins expected to rebound in coming quarters) will likely lead to expanding EBITDA margins and stronger earnings growth as the business continues to scale. Read the complete narrative. Want to see what justifies that jump in value, and why future earnings, margins, and share count all play starring roles, not supporting ones, in this thesis? Result: Fair Value of $14.22 (UNDERVALUED) Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts. However, sustained wage inflation or missteps in accelerating store openings could quickly squeeze margins and undermine the optimistic recovery path embedded in current forecasts. Find out about the key risks to this Savers Value Village narrative. Another View: Market Pricing Sends a Different Signal While the fair value narrative points to upside, our SWS DCF model is more conservative, suggesting Savers Value Village shares at 9.45 dollars are trading above an 8.29 dollars fair value. This implies the stock may be slightly overvalued rather than a clear bargain. Which story feels more realistic to you? Look into how the SWS DCF model arrives at its fair value. SVV Discounted Cash Flow as at Dec 2025Simply Wall St performs a discounted cash flow (DCF) on every stock in the world every day (check out Savers Value Village for example). We show the entire calculation in full. You can track the result in your watchlist or portfolio and be alerted when this changes, or use our stock screener to discover 903 undervalued stocks based on their cash flows. If you save a screener we even alert you when new companies match - so you never miss a potential opportunity.  Build Your Own Savers Value Village Narrative If this perspective does not quite fit your view, or you would rather dig into the numbers yourself, you can build a tailored narrative in just a few minutes: Do it your way. A great starting point for your Savers Value Village research is our analysis highlighting 2 key rewards and 1 important warning sign that could impact your investment decision. Looking for more investment ideas? Do not stop at one opportunity. Use the Simply Wall Street Screener to uncover focused sets of stocks that match your strategy before the crowd notices.  Capture powerful growth trends by reviewing these 24 AI penny stocks and tap into companies harnessing artificial intelligence to reshape industries and revenue potential. Strengthen your portfolio’s income engine by assessing these 10 dividend stocks with yields > 3%, targeting reliable payers with yields that work harder for you. Position yourself at the edge of financial innovation with these 80 cryptocurrency and blockchain stocks, where listed businesses build real world applications around digital assets and blockchain infrastructure.   This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data\n    and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your\n    financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data.\n    Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.\n    Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.The New Payments ETF Is Live on NASDAQ:Money is moving to real-time rails, and a newly listed ETF now gives investors direct exposure. Fast settlement. Institutional custody. Simple access.Explore how this launch could reshape portfoliosSponsored ContentNew: Manage All Your Stock Portfolios in One PlaceWe've created the ultimate portfolio companion for stock investors, and it's free.• Connect an unlimited number of Portfolios and see your total in one currency• Be alerted to new Warning Signs or Risks via email or mobile• Track the Fair Value of your stocksTry a Demo Portfolio for FreeHave feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com","kind":"highlight","is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":false,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"-1","news_tag":"shareholding","news_rank":0,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":0,"need_auth":false,"code":"91000000","status":"200"}}}