A Look At HUB24’s Valuation After Record Net Inflows And New Retirement And Advice Platform Launches

Simply Wall St.

01/22

AdvertisementRecord flows and product launches put HUB24 in focus HUB24 (ASX:HUB) has drawn fresh attention after reporting record December quarter net inflows of A$5.6b, lifting first half flows to A...

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It has led quarterly net inflows for eight consecutive quarters, while also rolling out new retirement and advice technology offerings.\nSee our latest analysis for...","collect":0,"end_time":0,"defaultTopTitle":"simplywall.st","property":[],"viewcount":null,"language":"en","relate_stocks":{"DCF":"Dreyfus Alcentra Global Credit Income 2024 Target Term Fund, Inc","HUB.AU":"HUB24 LTD","BK7054":"投资银行业与经纪业"},"translate_title":"在创纪录的净流入以及新的退休和建议平台推出后，看看HUB24的估值","themeId":null,"isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":null,"symbols_score_info":{"HUB.AU":1,"DCF":1},"content_text":"AdvertisementRecord flows and product launches put HUB24 in focus HUB24 (ASX:HUB) has drawn fresh attention after reporting record December quarter net inflows of A$5.6b, lifting first half flows to A$10.7b and funds under administration to A$152.3b. The platform now holds 9.3% of the Australian platform market, up from 7.9% a year earlier. It has led quarterly net inflows for eight consecutive quarters, while also rolling out new retirement and advice technology offerings. See our latest analysis for HUB24. HUB24’s recent record flow update has coincided with a 7 day share price return of 7.99% and a 1 year total shareholder return of 35.71%. The 3 year total shareholder return is very large at over 3x, pointing to momentum that, despite a 10.58% 90 day share price pullback, is still firmly positive over the longer term. If HUB24’s run has you looking for other opportunities in financial technology and related areas, it could be a good time to scan fast growing stocks with high insider ownership as a source of new ideas. With HUB24 trading around A$101.39 and sitting roughly 6% below the average analyst price target, while also showing a very large 3 year total return and strong recent inflows, is there still a genuine opportunity here or is the market already pricing in future growth? Price-to-Earnings of 103.7x: Is it justified? HUB24 is trading on a P/E of 103.7x, which sits well above its Capital Markets peers, even after the recent 90 day pullback in the share price. The P/E ratio compares the share price to earnings per share, so a higher figure typically means the market is baking in strong profit growth or a premium business quality. For a platform and tech driven wealth business like HUB24, investors often focus on how quickly earnings can scale relative to operating costs as funds under administration grow. Here, the current 103.7x P/E is more than 4x the estimated fair P/E of 21.5x that our fair ratio work suggests. It is also well above the Australian Capital Markets industry average of 21x and the peer group average of 25.1x. That is a steep premium, and it implies the market is pricing HUB24 far richer than both sector norms and the level the fair ratio suggests it could move towards over time. Explore the SWS fair ratio for HUB24 Result: Price-to-Earnings of 103.7x (OVERVALUED) However, the very high 103.7x P/E and large past total returns mean any slowdown in flows or earnings could quickly challenge the current premium story. Find out about the key risks to this HUB24 narrative. Another View: Our DCF model points the other way While the P/E of 103.7x suggests HUB24 is richly priced, our DCF model paints an even starker picture. At A$101.39, the share price sits well above our estimate of future cash flow value of A$40.98. On this method, it also screens as overvalued. When earnings multiples and the SWS DCF model both lean in the same direction, it raises a simple question for you as an investor: are you comfortable paying up for this growth story, or would you rather wait for the price and fundamentals to get closer together? Look into how the SWS DCF model arrives at its fair value. HUB Discounted Cash Flow as at Jan 2026Simply Wall St performs a discounted cash flow (DCF) on every stock in the world every day (check out HUB24 for example). We show the entire calculation in full. You can track the result in your watchlist or portfolio and be alerted when this changes, or use our stock screener to discover 883 undervalued stocks based on their cash flows. If you save a screener we even alert you when new companies match - so you never miss a potential opportunity.  Build Your Own HUB24 Narrative If you look at this and think the story plays out differently, or simply want to test your own assumptions against the numbers, you can build a personalised HUB24 view in just a few minutes with Do it your way A good starting point is our analysis highlighting 2 key rewards investors are optimistic about regarding HUB24. Looking for more investment ideas? If HUB24 has sharpened your focus, do not stop here. Use the Simply Wall St Screener to quickly surface fresh stock ideas tailored to how you like to invest.  Target reliable cash returns by scanning these 13 dividend stocks with yields > 3% that prioritize income and may help anchor your portfolio through different market conditions. Back future facing themes by reviewing these 23 AI penny stocks that are building real businesses around artificial intelligence rather than just the headline hype. Hunt for potential bargains by checking these 883 undervalued stocks based on cash flows where current prices sit below estimated cash flow value, so you can act before the crowd catches on.   This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data\n    and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your\n    financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data.\n    Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.\n    Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.Discover if HUB24 might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.Access Free AnalysisHave feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com","kind":"highlight","is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":false,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"1","news_tag":"productRelease","news_rank":0,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":0,"need_auth":false,"code":"91000000","status":"200"}}}