四天连破六道整百关口！现货黄金涨破5500美元，市场紧盯“特朗普因素”

国是直通车

01/29

文/陶思阅现货黄金连涨9个交易日！本周，现货黄金价格从略低于5000美元/盎司的水平一路狂飙，连破6道整百关口，于29日站上5500美元/盎司。黄金大牛市兴业银行首席经济学家鲁政委表示，黄金正在一轮大牛市中，近年来的黄金价格走势同时受多个中长期重大趋势性因素影响。一是国际货币体系的重构；二是全球主要经济体的宏观杠杆率上升；三是所处经济周期和产业技术周期。“在出现下一个公认的国际本位币之前，在看到新...

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href=http://gu.qq.com/resources/shy/news/detail-v2/index.html#/?id=nesSN20260129141138a6ba5204&s=b><strong>国是直通车</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>文/陶思阅现货黄金连涨9个交易日！本周，现货黄金价格从略低于5000美元/盎司的水平一路狂飙，连破6道整百关口，于29日站上5500美元/盎司。黄金大牛市兴业银行首席经济学家鲁政委表示，黄金正在一轮大牛市中，近年来的黄金价格走势同时受多个中长期重大趋势性因素影响。一是国际货币体系的重构；二是全球主要经济体的宏观杠杆率上升；三是所处经济周期和产业技术周期。“在出现下一个公认的国际本位币之前，在看到新...</p>\n\n<a href=\"http://gu.qq.com/resources/shy/news/detail-v2/index.html#/?id=nesSN20260129141138a6ba5204&s=b\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","isBrief":false,"type":0,"news_type":1,"symbol":"LU0149721374.USD","symbol_name":"HSBC GIF HONG KONG EQUITY \"AD\" 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Spot gold rose above $5,500, and the market focused on the \"Trump factor\"","themeId":null,"isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":null,"symbols_score_info":{"01929":0.9,"06168":0.9,"00590":0.9,"02899":0.9},"content_text":"文/陶思阅现货黄金连涨9个交易日！本周，现货黄金价格从略低于5000美元/盎司的水平一路狂飙，连破6道整百关口，于29日站上5500美元/盎司。黄金大牛市兴业银行首席经济学家鲁政委表示，黄金正在一轮大牛市中，近年来的黄金价格走势同时受多个中长期重大趋势性因素影响。一是国际货币体系的重构；二是全球主要经济体的宏观杠杆率上升；三是所处经济周期和产业技术周期。“在出现下一个公认的国际本位币之前，在看到新技术给劳动生产率带来明显的提升之前，仍然需要重视黄金的功能。”鲁政委说。世界黄金协会认为，未来政策风险、通胀预期与投资者持仓将共同塑造黄金的走向。近年来，全球地缘事件频发，黄金从此类冲突中受益，目前没有迹象表明这一格局会发生改变。市场紧盯“特朗普因素”此番金价狂飙，东方金诚研究发展部高级副总监白雪认为，主要源于特朗普在答记者问时称，对跌至近四年低位的美元并不担心，汇率可以像“溜溜球”一样上下摆动。该言论引发美元快速走弱，推动黄金价格继续突破新高。白雪补充，本轮金价的上涨已明显超越传统避险交易范畴，这也意味着市场对全球风险的定价方式正在发生变化。市场对风险的定价不再局限于单次冲突或危机，而是将地缘政治风险、美元信用风险、央行独立性风险等视为长期存在的结构性变量，形成持续的风险溢价。后市怎么走？业内人士认为，长期来看，金价上涨的逻辑延续，且当前不具备逆转条件，国际黄金价格有望上涨至6000美元/盎司，但需注意短期内金价波动。此前，杰富瑞集团预测2026年金价有望触及6600美元/盎司。华西证券发布的研报预测，2026年金价涨幅或在10%至35%区间。另外，专家警示，投资者应尽量避免追涨杀跌、过度依赖短期投机，以及忽视黄金的长期保值属性而频繁交易。投资者应注重黄金在资产配置中的战略作用，而非单纯博取价格波动收益。","kind":"news","is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":false,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"1","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":0,"need_auth":false,"code":"91000000","status":"200"}}}