RXO Q4 revenue misses estimates as full-truckload market tightens

Reuters
02/06
RXO Q4 revenue misses estimates as full-truckload market tightens

Overview

  • Transportation solutions provider's Q4 revenue misses analyst expectations

  • Adjusted loss per share for Q4 wider than analyst expectations

  • Company finalized $450 mln asset-based lending facility for financial flexibility

Outlook

  • RXO expects Q1 2026 adjusted EBITDA between $5 mln and $12 mln

  • Company anticipates Q1 2026 Brokerage volume to decline by 5% to 10% year-over-year

  • RXO forecasts Q1 2026 Brokerage gross margin between 11% and 13%

Result Drivers

  • TIGHTENING MARKET - Full-truckload market tightened, impacting buy rates and squeezing Brokerage gross margin, per CEO Drew Wilkerson

  • PIPELINE GROWTH - Brokerage late-stage pipeline for new business grew by more than 50% year-over-year

  • FREIGHT MANAGEMENT - Managed Transportation awarded more than $200 mln of freight under management in Q4

Key Details

Metric

Beat/Miss

Actual

Consensus Estimate

Q4 Revenue

Miss

$1.47 bln

$1.49 bln (17 Analysts)

Q4 Adjusted EPS

Miss

-$0.07

-$0.04 (19 Analysts)

Q4 EPS

-$0.27

Q4 Adjusted Net Income

-$11 mln

Q4 Adjusted EBITDA

$17 mln

Q4 Adjusted EBITDA Margin

1.20%

Analyst Coverage

  • The current average analyst rating on the shares is "hold" and the breakdown of recommendations is 5 "strong buy" or "buy", 15 "hold" and 2 "sell" or "strong sell"

  • The average consensus recommendation for the ground freight & logistics peer group is "buy."

  • Wall Street's median 12-month price target for RXO Inc is $15.00, about 9.5% below its February 5 closing price of $16.58

  • The stock recently traded at 147 times the next 12-month earnings vs. a P/E of 54 three months ago

Press Release: ID:nBw2BsYQza

For questions concerning the data in this report, contact Estimates.Support@lseg.com. For any other questions or feedback, contact reuters.support@thomsonreuters.com.

(This story was created using Reuters automation and AI based on LSEG and company data. It was checked and edited by a Reuters journalist prior to publication.)

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