RXO Inc. published an update to its proprietary Curve truckload freight market forecast, reporting that truckload spot rates rose 5.2% year-over-year in the fourth quarter of 2025, up from 1.8% in the third quarter. The company said the rate inflation accelerated again late in the quarter and continued into the first quarter through Feb. 13, driven by carrier capacity attrition, cost pressures, and disruptions from late peak-season volatility and winter storms. RXO warned that the market remains in a fragile supply-demand balance, with potential for higher volatility if demand improves.

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