互换市场定价显示美联储年内降息25个基点的可能性仅约50%

环球市场播报

8小时前

　　市场对美联储今年降息的预期进一步减弱，推动12月政策会议对应的隔夜指数互换（OIS）利率升至3.52%，显示市场预计降息幅度为12个基点，意味着年底前降息25个基点的可能性约50%。

　　美国国债现货市场，短端延续跌势，推动2年期收益率升至盘中高点，日内上行约11个基点。

　　12月美联储政策会议的OIS定价与周二收盘时交易员预计年内降息25个基点的可能性为100%形成对比，转变源于美联储主席鲍威尔在宣布维持利率不变后的讲话。

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