A Look At China Petroleum & Chemical (SEHK:386) Valuation After Weak 2025 Results And Leadership Changes

Simply Wall St.

04/02

China Petroleum & Chemical (SEHK:386) has released its full-year 2025 results, reporting lower sales, revenue, and net income, along with a reduced final dividend and a change in President, all ...

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Chemical (SEHK:386) has released its full-year 2025 results, reporting lower sales, revenue, and net income, along with a reduced final dividend and a change in President, all ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://simplywall.st/stocks/hk/energy/hkg-386/china-petroleum-chemical-shares/news/a-look-at-china-petroleum-chemical-sehk386-valuation-after-w\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"simplywall_highlight","html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>A Look At China Petroleum & Chemical (SEHK:386) Valuation After Weak 2025 Results And Leadership Changes</title>\n<style 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results, reporting lower sales, revenue, and net income, along with a reduced final dividend and a change in President, all ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://simplywall.st/stocks/hk/energy/hkg-386/china-petroleum-chemical-shares/news/a-look-at-china-petroleum-chemical-sehk386-valuation-after-w\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","isBrief":false,"type":0,"news_type":1,"symbol":"LU0244354667.USD","symbol_name":"SCHRODER ISF CHINA OPPORTUNITIES \"A\" 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See our latest analysis for China Petroleum & Chemical. The results announcement and leadership reshuffle come after a 30 day share price return showing a 15.62% decline and a year to date share price return showing a 2.34% decline, while the 1 year total shareholder return of 18.79% suggests longer term holders have fared better despite fading recent momentum. If this earnings reset has you reassessing energy exposure, it can be helpful to look across the sector and beyond by checking out 27 power grid technology and infrastructure stocks With earnings under pressure, a lower final dividend, leadership changes, and the shares trading below some valuation estimates, the key question now is whether this reset has created a buying opportunity or if the market is already pricing in future growth. AdvertisementDCF valuation suggests a wide gap to fair value On Simply Wall St's DCF view, China Petroleum & Chemical's last close of HK$4.59 sits well below an estimated fair value of HK$8.60. This implies the shares are trading at a considerable discount if those cash flow assumptions hold up. The SWS DCF model estimates value by projecting the company’s future cash flows, then discounting them back to today using a required rate of return. This approach focuses on the cash the business is expected to generate over time rather than short term earnings swings. For a large integrated energy and chemicals group with a wide mix of exploration, refining, marketing and petrochemicals, this type of model can capture how cash generation from different segments might evolve over a longer period, across both Mainland China and overseas operations. Look into how the SWS DCF model arrives at its fair value. Result: DCF Fair value of HK$8.60 (UNDERVALUED) Price-to-earnings of 15x: Is it justified? On a P/E basis, the stock trades on 15x earnings, which screens as more expensive than several comparison points even after the recent share price pullback. The P/E ratio compares the HK$4.59 share price to the company’s earnings per share and is a common shorthand for how much investors are paying for each unit of current profit. For a mature oil and gas group, it can often reflect how the market views the stability and growth profile of those earnings. Here, the 15x P/E is higher than the Asian oil and gas industry average of 14.4x and also above a peer average of 11.3x, suggesting the market is putting a richer tag on China Petroleum & Chemical’s earnings compared with many regional and peer names. At the same time, it sits below an estimated fair P/E of 20.3x, a level the market could move towards if the factors behind that fair ratio play out. Explore the SWS fair ratio for China Petroleum & Chemical Result: Price-to-earnings of 15x (ABOUT RIGHT) However, the weaker recent returns and reduced final dividend, alongside leadership changes, could signal that earnings and capital allocation face ongoing pressure. Find out about the key risks to this China Petroleum & Chemical narrative. Another view: Analyst targets look more restrained Analysts put their average price target at HK$5.44, only about 19% above the current HK$4.59 share price. That is a far smaller gap than the SWS DCF estimate of HK$8.60, which suggests the market might be more cautious than the cash flow model. Which view do you lean toward? Look into how the SWS DCF model arrives at its fair value. 386 Discounted Cash Flow as at Apr 2026Simply Wall St performs a discounted cash flow (DCF) on every stock in the world every day (check out China Petroleum & Chemical for example). We show the entire calculation in full. You can track the result in your watchlist or portfolio and be alerted when this changes, or use our stock screener to discover 246 high quality undervalued stocks. If you save a screener we even alert you when new companies match - so you never miss a potential opportunity. Next Steps If this mix of discounts, premiums and shifting fundamentals leaves you unsure, take a closer look at the underlying numbers and sentiment, then weigh up the 2 key rewards and 1 important warning sign Looking for more investment ideas? If this update has sharpened your focus on quality, now is the moment to broaden your watchlist with ideas that match your risk, income, and value preferences.  Target potential value opportunities by scanning 246 high quality undervalued stocks to find combinations of solid fundamentals and attractive pricing signals. Strengthen your income stream by reviewing 451 dividend fortresses with higher yields supported by consistent payout records. Limit downside risk by checking 274 resilient stocks with low risk scores where resilient balance sheets and risk scores stand out.   This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data\n    and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your\n    financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data.\n    Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.\n    Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.New: AI Stock Screener & AlertsOur new AI Stock Screener scans the market every day to uncover opportunities.• Dividend Powerhouses (3%+ Yield)• Undervalued Small Caps with Insider Buying• High growth Tech and AI CompaniesOr build your own from over 50 metrics.Explore Now for FreeHave feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com","kind":"highlight","is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":false,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"-1","news_tag":"executive","news_rank":0,"isVideo":false,"video":null,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":0,"need_auth":false,"need_login_tip":false,"code":"91000000","status":"200"}}}