Ecolab's (ECL) forecast for commodity cost increases in Q2 and H2 appears reasonable as the rise in caustic soda, ethylene, and propylene prices amid the Middle East crisis looks manageable, RBC Capital Markets said in a Tuesday research note.

Commodity cost inflation is a near-term headwind, which could result in an incremental inflation impact of around 2.5% in 2026, according to the note.

Momentum in surcharge implementation should offset cost impacts, supported by moderating propylene prices as well as while stable ethylene prices due to steady natural gas prices, the analysts said.

RBC reiterated its outperform rating on Ecolab with a price target of $337.

Price: 264.81, Change: +10.58, Percent Change: +4.16