Chinese Automakers' Local Retail Sales Could Shrink in 2026

Dow Jones

8小时前

0246 GMT - Chinese automakers' local retail volumes could shrink despite some recovery in domestic electric-vehicle demand in June, say Macquarie Capital's Eugene Hsiao and Calvin Ye in a note. Auto retail volume declined around 20% on year in 1H, likely due to local demand weakness. They cut their 2026 forecast for domestic retail sales to 20.2 million units, implying a 15% drop from 2025, compared with a previous estimate of 22.7 million units. Macquarie also notes margin pressure from persistently high input costs could weigh on Chinese automakers. Still, exports are set to remain strong, which Macquarie expects to surge 38% this year to 7.9 million units. Macquarie's sector pecking order is led by Geely ahead of BYD, NIO, XPeng and Li Auto. (megan.cheah@wsj.com)

(END) Dow Jones Newswires

July 02, 2026 22:46 ET (02:46 GMT)

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Auto retail volume declined around 20% on year in 1H, likely due to local demand weakness. They cut their 2026 forecast for domestic retail sales to 20.2 million units, implying a 15% drop from 2025, compared with a previous estimate of 22.7 million units. Macquarie also notes margin pressure from persistently high input costs could weigh on Chinese automakers. Still, exports are set to remain strong, which Macquarie expects to surge 38% this year to 7.9 million units. Macquarie's sector pecking order is led by <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00175\">Geely</a> ahead of <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BYDDY\">BYD</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">NIO</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XPEV\">XPeng</a> and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LAAOF\">Li Auto</a>. (megan.cheah@wsj.com) \n</p>\n<pre style=\"white-space: pre\">\n \n</pre>\n<p>\n  (END) Dow Jones Newswires\n</p>\n<p>\n  July 02, 2026 22:46 ET (02:46 GMT)\n</p>\n<p>\n  Copyright (c) 2026 Dow Jones &amp; Company, Inc.\n</p>\n</font>","source":null,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Chinese Automakers' Local Retail Sales Could Shrink in 2026</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nChinese Automakers' Local Retail Sales Could Shrink in 2026\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Dow Jones </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2026-07-03 10:46</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<font class=\"NormalMinus1\" face=\"Arial\">\n<p>\n     0246 GMT - Chinese automakers' local retail volumes could shrink despite some recovery in domestic electric-vehicle demand in June, say <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MQG.AU\">Macquarie</a> Capital's Eugene Hsiao and Calvin Ye in a note. Auto retail volume declined around 20% on year in 1H, likely due to local demand weakness. They cut their 2026 forecast for domestic retail sales to 20.2 million units, implying a 15% drop from 2025, compared with a previous estimate of 22.7 million units. Macquarie also notes margin pressure from persistently high input costs could weigh on Chinese automakers. Still, exports are set to remain strong, which Macquarie expects to surge 38% this year to 7.9 million units. Macquarie's sector pecking order is led by <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00175\">Geely</a> ahead of <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BYDDY\">BYD</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">NIO</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XPEV\">XPeng</a> and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LAAOF\">Li Auto</a>. (megan.cheah@wsj.com) \n</p>\n<pre style=\"white-space: pre\">\n \n</pre>\n<p>\n  (END) Dow Jones Newswires\n</p>\n<p>\n  July 02, 2026 22:46 ET (02:46 GMT)\n</p>\n<p>\n  Copyright (c) 2026 Dow Jones &amp; Company, Inc.\n</p>\n</font>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","isBrief":false,"type":0,"news_type":1,"symbol":"LU0348735423.USD","symbol_name":"ALLIANZ HONG KONG EQUITY \"A\" (USD) INC","start_time":0,"source_url":"https://dowjonesnews.com/newdjn/logon.aspx?AL=N","article_id":"2648630845","we_media_id":"106","thumbnails":[],"rights":null,"url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2648630845","pubTimestamp":1783046760,"columns":[],"sourceInfo":null,"weMediaInfo":{"media_name":"Dow Jones","introduction":"Dow Jones publishes the world’s most trusted business news and financial information in a variety of media.","home_visible":0,"id":"106","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99"},"summary":"0246 GMT - Chinese automakers' local retail volumes could shrink despite some recovery in domestic electric-vehicle demand in June, say Macquarie Capital's Eugene Hsiao and Calvin Ye in a note. Auto retail volume declined around 20% on year in 1H, likely due to local demand weakness. They cut their 2026 forecast for domestic retail sales to 20.2 million units, implying a 15% drop from 2025, compared with a previous estimate of 22.7 million units. Macquarie also notes margin pressure from persistently high input costs could weigh on Chinese automakers. Still, exports are set to remain strong, which Macquarie expects to surge 38% this year to 7.9 million units. Macquarie's sector pecking order is led by Geely ahead of BYD, NIO, XPeng and Li Auto.  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Chinese automakers' local retail volumes could shrink despite some recovery in domestic electric-vehicle demand in June, say Macquarie Capital's Eugene Hsiao and Calvin Ye in a note. Auto retail volume declined around 20% on year in 1H, likely due to local demand weakness. They cut their 2026 forecast for domestic retail sales to 20.2 million units, implying a 15% drop from 2025, compared with a previous estimate of 22.7 million units. Macquarie also notes margin pressure from persistently high input costs could weigh on Chinese automakers. Still, exports are set to remain strong, which Macquarie expects to surge 38% this year to 7.9 million units. Macquarie's sector pecking order is led by Geely ahead of BYD, NIO, XPeng and Li Auto. (megan.cheah@wsj.com) \n\n\n \n\n\n  (END) Dow Jones Newswires\n\n\n  July 02, 2026 22:46 ET (02:46 GMT)\n\n\n  Copyright (c) 2026 Dow Jones & Company, Inc.","kind":"highlight","is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":false,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":true,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"0","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"isVideo":false,"video":null,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":0,"need_auth":true,"need_login_tip":false,"code":"91000000","status":"200"}}}