Sandisk is Giving up Some Margin for a Bigger Reward

Dow Jones
08/07

Sandisk shareholders didn't love the flash-memory company's guidance. But at least one element of their disquiet -- its apparently peaking margins -- shouldn't be a worry.

Sandisk shares were down 3.7% at $1,306 on Thursday after the company's earnings beat expectations, but its forecast came in below Wall Street's expectations.

One of the factors that could be causing concern is that Sandisk projected its gross margin for the September quarter would be 83-85%, which at the midpoint would be down from 84.6% in the June quarter. That comes as the company locks in its new business model (NBM) agreements, which lock in customers at prices over the longer term.

Sandisk's move is in line with those of peers such as Micron Technology, and the same logic applies. While the company might be giving up a certain amount of profit now, it should be locking in bigger earnings over the longer term, potentially convincing the market it deserves a higher price-to-earnings multiple.

Sandisk, along with other memory companies, normally trades at a notably low forward price-to-earnings ratio because the memory-chip industry goes through cycles of boom and bust. Currently, it trades at a forward P/E multiple of just 6.04 times, according to FactSet.

However, Raymond James analyst Melissa Fairbanks argues that Sandisk deserves at least a 8.0 times multiple on her forecasts for its fiscal 2028 earnings. She raised her target price on the stock to $2,000 from $1,470 in a research note Thursday, reiterating an Outperform rating.

"Sandisk continues to benefit from accelerating AI-driven datacenter demand, while the rapid adoption of its new business model (NBMs) is materially improving earnings visibility, pricing discipline, and margin durability," wrote Fairbanks. "We suspect the economics of NBM remain robust, with floor pricing supporting gross margins of 80%."

 

应版权方要求,你需要登录查看该内容

免责声明:投资有风险,本文并非投资建议,以上内容不应被视为任何金融产品的购买或出售要约、建议或邀请,作者或其他用户的任何相关讨论、评论或帖子也不应被视为此类内容。本文仅供一般参考,不考虑您的个人投资目标、财务状况或需求。TTM对信息的准确性和完整性不承担任何责任或保证,投资者应自行研究并在投资前寻求专业建议。

热议股票

  1. 1
     
     
     
     
  2. 2
     
     
     
     
  3. 3
     
     
     
     
  4. 4
     
     
     
     
  5. 5
     
     
     
     
  6. 6
     
     
     
     
  7. 7
     
     
     
     
  8. 8
     
     
     
     
  9. 9
     
     
     
     
  10. 10