Bitcoin (BTC) Is Officially Unprofitable: 365-Day Running ROI

utoday

08/14

With its 365-day running return on investment now firmly below 1, Bitcoin has crossed an unsettling threshold for long-term holders. The most recent reading of roughly 0.514 indicates that Bitcoin is ...

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The most recent reading of roughly 0.514 indicates that Bitcoin is ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://u.today/bitcoin-btc-is-officially-unprofitable-365-day-running-roi\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"utodaynews_highlight","html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Bitcoin (BTC) Is Officially Unprofitable: 365-Day Running ROI</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBitcoin (BTC) Is Officially Unprofitable: 365-Day Running ROI\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2026-08-14 08:50 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://u.today/bitcoin-btc-is-officially-unprofitable-365-day-running-roi><strong>utoday</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>With its 365-day running return on investment now firmly below 1, Bitcoin has crossed an unsettling threshold for long-term holders. The most recent reading of roughly 0.514 indicates that Bitcoin is ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://u.today/bitcoin-btc-is-officially-unprofitable-365-day-running-roi\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","isBrief":false,"type":0,"news_type":1,"symbol":"BTRN","symbol_name":"比特币期货ETF-Global X","start_time":0,"source_url":"https://u.today/bitcoin-btc-is-officially-unprofitable-365-day-running-roi","article_id":"2659146930","we_media_id":null,"thumbnails":[],"rights":{"source":"utodaynews_highlight","url":"https://u.today/bitcoin-btc-is-officially-unprofitable-365-day-running-roi","rn_cache_url":null,"directOrigin":true},"url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2659146930","pubTimestamp":1786668600,"columns":[],"sourceInfo":{"source_id":"utodaynews_highlight","name":"u.today"},"weMediaInfo":null,"summary":"That interpretation is supported by the pricing chart. After failing to break out of its recent consolidation, Bitcoin is currently trading at about $62,900. While the 100-day moving average is still significantly higher at $66,500, BTC has fallen below the short-term moving averages between $63,400 and $63,900. At roughly $71,800, the 200-day moving average is even farther away, putting pressure on Bitcoin's broader technical structure. Moreover, momentum is waning.The daily RSI has dropped to about 42.5, below its signal average of about 49, though it remains comfortably above oversold territory. As a result, sellers are still able to exert more pressure. The key distinction is that, rather than predicting what will happen next, a negative 365-day ROI describes what Bitcoin has already experienced.In the past, significant accumulation periods have seen the emergence of sharply declining annual returns, but it has proven difficult to predict these shifts based solely on ROI. As of rig","collect":0,"end_time":0,"defaultTopTitle":"u.today","property":[],"viewcount":null,"language":"en","relate_stocks":{"83042":"华夏比特币-R","BTRN":"比特币期货ETF-Global X","BAGY":"Amplify Bitcoin Max Income Covered Call ETF","STCE":"Schwab Crypto Thematic ETF","CBOY":"Calamos Bitcoin Structured Alt Protection ETF - July","09008":"博时比特币-U","IBIT":"比特币ETF-iShares","CBXJ":"Calamos Bitcoin 90 Series Structured Alt Protection ETF - January","BTCZ":"T-Rex 2X Inverse Bitcoin Daily Target ETF","BITB":"比特币ETF-Bitwise","MAXI":"比特币期货ETF-Simplify","BTC.AU":"Btc Health Ltd","BETE":"等权重比特币&以太币期货ETF-ProShares","BTC":"Grayscale Bitcoin Mini Trust","MNRS":"GRAYSCALE BITCOIN MINERS ETF","CBXO":"Calamos Bitcoin 90 Series Structured Alt Protection ETF - October","CRPT":"First Trust SkyBridge Crypto Industry and Digital Economy ETF","DFII":"FT Cboe Vest Bitcoin Strategy & Target Income ETF","03008":"博时比特币","BETH":"比特币&以太币期货ETF-ProShares","BITO":"比特币期货ETF-ProShares","BTCI":"NEOS Bitcoin High Income ETF","BTF":"比特币&以太币期货ETF-CoinShares","03042":"华夏比特币","BTYB":"VistaShares BitBonds 5 Yr Enhanced Weekly Distribution ETF","BEGS":"RAREVIEW 2X BULL CRYPTOCURRENCY & PRECIOUS METALS ETF","YBIT":"YieldMax Bitcoin Option Income ETF","BRRR":"比特币ETF-CoinShares","OOQB":"One+One Bitcoin and Ether ETF","NCIQ":"HASHDEX NASDAQ CRYPTO INDEX US ETF","BTFX":"比特币期货ETF-CoinShares","03439":"嘉实比特币","BTCL":"T-REX 2X LONG BITCOIN DAILY TARGET ETF","CBTJ":"Calamos Bitcoin 80 Series Structured Alt Protection ETF - January","09042":"华夏比特币-U","BTGD":"STKD Bitcoin & Gold ETF","09439":"嘉实比特币-U","ARKY":"ARK Active Autocallable Income ETF","BTCO":"比特币ETF-Invesco Galaxy","YBTC":"比特币看涨期权ETF-Roundhill","CBTO":"Calamos Bitcoin 80 Series Structured Alt Protection ETF - October","GBTC":"比特币ETF-Grayscale","MSBT":"Morgan Stanley Bitcoin Trust ETP","SBIT":"2倍做空比特币期货ETF-Proshares","BITX":"2倍比特币期货ETF-Volatility Shares","BCCC":"Global X Bitcoin Covered Call ETF"},"translate_title":"比特币 (BTC) 正式不盈利：365 天运行投资回报率","themeId":null,"isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":null,"symbols_score_info":{"83042":0.6,"NCIQ":1.5,"09042":1.5,"BTF":1.5,"MNRS":1.5,"BEGS":1.5,"CBTJ":1.5,"09439":1.5,"MAXI":1.5,"BTFX":1.5,"XBTmain":1.5,"03439":0.9,"IBIT":1.5,"03042":0.9,"CBOY":0.6,"03008":0.9,"BTYB":1.5,"BTCL":1.5,"CBXJ":0.6,"BTRN":1.5,"GBTC":0.6,"BITO":0.6,"BITX":1.5,"BETE":1.5,"ARKY":1.5,"09008":1.5,"CBTO":0.6,"OOQB":1.5,"YBTC":1.5,"BCCC":0.6,"BTC":1.5,"BAGY":0.6,"BTCO":0.6,"BTCZ":1.5,"CRPT":1.5,"MSBT":1.5,"BTC.AU":1.5,"STCE":1.5,"YBIT":1.5,"BRRR":1.5,"SBIT":0.6,"BITB":0.6,"BTCI":1.5,"BTGD":1.5,"BETH":1.5,"BTCmain":1.5,"CBXO":0.6,"DFII":0.6},"content_text":"With its 365-day running return on investment now firmly below 1, Bitcoin has crossed an unsettling threshold for long-term holders. The most recent reading of roughly 0.514 indicates that Bitcoin is only worth roughly 51% of what it was a year ago, making the trailing 12-month holding period clearly unprofitable. Negative period for the marketThe current price of Bitcoin is compared to its price one year ago using the 365-day running ROI. A one-year holder is profitable if the reading is greater than 1, with 1 indicating breakeven. Bitcoin has generated about a 49% negative return during that time, as reflected by the 0.514 reading. Movements below the 1.0 threshold have historically occurred during some of the worst periods for the Bitcoin market. BTC/USDT Chart by TradingViewDuring the bear markets of 2014–2015, 2018–2019, and 2022, the indicator remained below breakeven for prolonged periods. However, a market bottom is not necessarily indicated by falling below 1. In fact, past cycles indicate that before Bitcoin establishes a long-lasting recovery, the 365-day ROI may stay low for months and decline significantly further. Because of this, the current reading is less helpful as a direct buy signal and more helpful as a description of the market regime. Will Bitcoin stabilize?That interpretation is supported by the pricing chart. After failing to break out of its recent consolidation, Bitcoin is currently trading at about $62,900. While the 100-day moving average is still significantly higher at $66,500, BTC has fallen below the short-term moving averages between $63,400 and $63,900. At roughly $71,800, the 200-day moving average is even farther away, putting pressure on Bitcoin's broader technical structure. Moreover, momentum is waning. The daily RSI has dropped to about 42.5, below its signal average of about 49, though it remains comfortably above oversold territory. As a result, sellers are still able to exert more pressure. The key distinction is that, rather than predicting what will happen next, a negative 365-day ROI describes what Bitcoin has already experienced. In the past, significant accumulation periods have seen the emergence of sharply declining annual returns, but it has proven difficult to predict these shifts based solely on ROI. As of right now, buying and holding Bitcoin for a full year has resulted in a significant loss. More than just temporary stabilization would be needed for a recovery above the 1.0 ROI threshold; BTC would need a sustained long-term price increase that could undo a full year of underperformance.","kind":"highlight","is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":false,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":false,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"-2","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"isVideo":false,"video":null,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":0,"need_auth":false,"need_login_tip":false,"code":"91000000","status":"200"}}}