How This Bond Pro Revived a Legendary Pimco Fund

Dow Jones
6小时前

Lawrence C. Strauss

When Mohit Mittal assumed the lead role in running the Pimco Total Return Fund in 2022, one of the firm's signature portfolios had gone through some rough years.

In 2022, an especially harsh year for bond funds as the Federal Reserve aggressively hiked short-term rates to tame runaway inflation, the fund's total return was minus 14.4%, placing it in the bottom quarter of its Morningstar peer group.

That was quite a comedown. After all, this was the same fund that Bill Gross, the bond investing guru, ran for many years until he left Pimco in 2014.

Mittal, now 48 years old, says he tried to bring an approach that had worked in other parts of the firm's large fund stable-that is, looking for "structural inefficiencies" in the bond market such as a selloff in agency mortgages.

Some years later, the fund's performance has improved.

Its three-year annual return as of Aug. 28 was 5.4%, besting 75% of its Morningstar peer group. It was also about a percentage point ahead of its benchmark, the Bloomberg U.S. Aggregate Index, over that period. The fund sports an adjusted expense ratio of 0.80%.

Mittal is chief investment officer of the firm's core strategies, which include the $47 billion Pimco Total Return Fund. Core, as Mittal sees it, offers investors investment-grade assets along with attractive yields.

Bonds that fit into core strategies, he says, yield around 6.5% overall these days, a big improvement from the low yields that were prevalent before the Fed started boosting rates in 2022.

"So over the next three to five years, a lot of things have to go wrong for investors to not get that return profile," he says.

Mittal is a table tennis enthusiast, and he draws a comparison between that sport and his investing approach.

"I do more of a counter punch with appropriate placement, instead of more of a constant attack," he says. "Fixed-income management, particularly in a high-quality strategy like core, is a lot like that."

Mittal's path to becoming a bond manager in Newport Beach, Calif., where Pimco is based, began across the world in northern India where he was raised. He lived in Bathinda, a city whose economy relies heavily on agriculture.

His father's job entailed buying cotton from farmers and then selling it to textile mills. Mittal's parents were big advocates of education, he recalls. As an undergraduate, Mittal studied computer science in Delhi at Indian Institute of Technology.

He was recruited from there by Deloitte Consulting, and he focused on technology and operations consulting, mainly working in Chicago but also New York, for about five years starting in 2000.

In 2005 Mittal enrolled in the M.B.A. program at the Wharton School of the University of Pennsylvania.

He didn't enter the school thinking that running a mutual fund was his future calling.

"I didn't even know this world existed before I went to business school," he says. However, courses in subjects like financial modeling, corporate finance and accounting whet his appetite for security analysis and portfolio management.

He joined Pimco in 2007 after graduating from Wharton as the financial crisis of 2008-'09 was intensifying. As a newcomer to the firm, Mittal rotated across several desks starting with high-yield debt. He worked as a trader.

Mittal later spent time working in dynamic bonds, a flexible multi-asset approach across different fixed-income sectors; the U.S. rates desk (think Treasuries); core and core-plus bond investing; and investment-grade bonds-all very different and posing unique challenges.

He started managing portfolios in 2010, and his responsibilities have continued to increase.

An important mentor has been Chris Dialynas, a veteran Pimco portfolio manager. After hearing a pitch for why a trade had upside, Mittal says, Dialynas would ask me "to make the case of why we should not do it."

"His thinking was that it forces me to think of all the ways that a trade can go wrong," Mittal says.

He emphasizes that running the fund-and the core strategies-is a team effort that requires "a lot of individuals doing a lot of analysis and lot of idea generation."

Mittal works alongside Daniel Ivascyn, group chief investment officer at Pimco, as well as portfolio managers Qi Wang and Mike Cudzil.

A key trade that's helped improve the Total Return Fund's performance started in 2023 with the Silicon Valley Bank failure.

Mittal and his team snapped up agency mortgages from several failed banks that year, leading to a large overweight in the portfolio by the end of 2023 and into 2024. That worked out very well in 2024 and 2025.

More recently, in 2026, an important theme has been looking for opportunities in beaten up investment-grade corporate debt, technology in particular.

"Tech sector [credit] spreads have underperformed quite significantly, given the amount of issuance by the hyperscalers," he says. The hyperscalers include companies such as Amazon and Microsoft that are building massive computing infrastructure for artificial intelligence.

Mittal has also lengthened the fund's duration, or sensitivity to changes in interest rates. It's now at about 6.75 years, roughly a percentage point higher than the benchmark.

One of the risks of extending the duration is that rate hikes by the Federal Reserve would pressure bond prices. (Bond prices fall when yields rise, and vice versa.)

"There's certainly a scenario where the Fed has to hike beyond what is priced in, but that would slow the economy substantially," says Mittal. "And that would then mean that at some point, the Fed will have to cut quite aggressively."

Rate cuts would be a tailwind for bond prices overall.

Mittal, ever the counter puncher, is always lining up his next shot.

Write to editors@barrons.com

 

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