UBS Says CoreWeave Stock Could Rise Nearly 40% as Debt Fears Ease

Dow Jones
09/23

CoreWeave has had a wild ride since its initial public offering, buffeted by concerns about the sustainability of the artificial-intelligence boom. But at current prices it looks like a bargain, according to UBS.

CoreWeave stock was up 1.7% at $88.20 in early trading Wednesday, well below its May high of nearly $140.

UBS analyst Karl Keirstead thinks there's scope for a comeback, initiating coverage of the stock with a $120 price target and a Buy rating in a research note Tuesday. That implies a nearly 40% gain from current levels.

"A positive call on CoreWeave shares is a de facto call that investors will soon rotate back into the long-AI trade, a scenario that seems increasingly likely given the muted sentiment, strong demand signals and reported frontier lab growth," Keirstead wrote.

The central concern is how much CoreWeave must borrow to rapidly build data centers and expand its AI computing capacity.

CoreWeave is set to make capital expenditures of $260 billion in the period from 2027 through 2030 to reach its goal of eight gigawatts of data-center power capacity by the end of the decade, according to Keirstead. He estimates that will require about $102 billion in additional financing.

Keirstead argues that it's the creditworthiness of CoreWeave's clients that investors should be focused on and with customers like Nvidia, Microsoft, and Meta Platforms, that shouldn't be an issue.

With high-credit quality customers committed to long-date take-or-pay contracts then CoreWeave can keep driving down its rate of interest, with its latest debt carrying effective rates of 9% to 11%, down from almost 15% in 2023.

Keirstead said financing remains available for AI data centers, though borrowing costs have risen. He argued that CoreWeave could reduce its financing risk by requiring larger customer prepayments, securing financing from suppliers such as Nvidia, charging more per megawatt of capacity and taking on new contracts at a slower pace.

Valuing CoreWeave can be tricky as it is posting heavy quarterly losses but rapid revenue growth. Keirstead estimates that CoreWeave shares trade at roughly three times projected 2027 revenue and a little more than five times projected adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization. He sees that as a substantial discount to peers such as Nebius.

"In our view, these multiples are attractive for a company with 112% revenue growth facing material AI demand," Keirstead wrote.

 

应版权方要求,你需要登录查看该内容

免责声明:投资有风险,本文并非投资建议,以上内容不应被视为任何金融产品的购买或出售要约、建议或邀请,作者或其他用户的任何相关讨论、评论或帖子也不应被视为此类内容。本文仅供一般参考,不考虑您的个人投资目标、财务状况或需求。TTM对信息的准确性和完整性不承担任何责任或保证,投资者应自行研究并在投资前寻求专业建议。

热议股票

  1. 1
     
     
     
     
  2. 2
     
     
     
     
  3. 3
     
     
     
     
  4. 4
     
     
     
     
  5. 5
     
     
     
     
  6. 6
     
     
     
     
  7. 7
     
     
     
     
  8. 8
     
     
     
     
  9. 9
     
     
     
     
  10. 10