Gold Prices Fall 2% on Firmer Dollar, Dimming Rate-Cut Hopes. Precious Metal Shares Drop in Overnight Trading

Tiger Newspress
03/09

Gold fell about 2% on Monday, as ‌a stronger U.S. dollar weighed on the greenback-priced bullion, while higher energy costs fuelled inflation concerns and further dimmed the prospects for near‑term reductions in interest rates.

Spot gold fell 2.1% to $5,062.61 per ounce; spot silver dropped 4.46% to $80.61 per ounce.

Precious metal shares slid in overnight trading. ProShares Ultra Silver, Sibanye down around 8%; Hycroft Mining, Fortuna Silver Mines down over 7%; Endeavour Silver, Silvercorp Metals down over 6%.

The ​dollar rose to a more-than-three-month high, making bullion more expensive for holders ⁠of other currencies.

The U.S. 10‑year Treasury yields climbed to a one-month high, raising the cost ​of holding non‑yielding gold.

"Gold is on the back foot today despite the market tumult, ​with triple-digit oil prices boosting the dollar on inflation fears and scaled back rate-cutting expectations," said Tim Waterer, KCM Trade chief market analyst.

Crude oil prices surged more than 20% to above $110 per barrel as the expanding ​U.S.-Israeli war with Iran led some major Middle Eastern oil producers to cut ​supplies amid fears of prolonged disruption to shipping through the Strait of Hormuz.

"Much of gold's price rise over the ‌last ⁠12 months was predicated on a dovish outlook for U.S. interest rates, but given the inflation risk presented by $100 per barrel oil, rate cuts are no longer a given and gold has repriced accordingly," Waterer said.

Investors expect the U.S. Federal Reserve to ​keep interest rates steady ​at the end ⁠of its two-day meeting on March 18, as per CME Group's FedWatch tool. The odds of a June hold, which were below ​43% last week, climbed to more than 51%.

Bullion tends to ​thrive in ⁠a low-interest-rate environment as it is a non-yielding asset.

Meanwhile, raising geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, Iran on Monday named Mojtaba Khamenei to succeed his father, Ali Khamenei, as supreme leader, ⁠signalling ​that hardliners remain firmly in charge.

Spot silver dropped 2.2% ​to $82.50 per ounce. Spot platinum fell 2.8% to $2,076.07, and palladium was down 1.2% at $1,605.12.

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