Standard Chartered: Fed Unlikely to Cut Rates This Year; Higher Probability of Extreme Scenarios in Global Markets

Stock News
昨天

Standard Chartered Bank has released a research report forecasting that the global economic growth rate will hold steady at 3.4% in 2026, matching the rate projected for 2025. New drivers of economic growth are beginning to emerge, with future expansion likely to be increasingly fueled by domestic demand and fiscal policies. The bank indicated that U.S. economic growth is expected to remain robust, with its growth forecast being revised upwards from 1.7% to 2.3%. Persistent inflationary pressures in the U.S. may constrain the Federal Reserve's ability to implement further policy easing, leading to the expectation that the Fed will not enact any interest rate cuts for the remainder of the year. However, policy uncertainty, the upcoming U.S. midterm elections, and the impending leadership transition at the Federal Reserve could all influence investment sentiment and potential shifts in policy direction. Looking ahead, Standard Chartered noted that as market risk factors intensify, trade policy uncertainties persist, and geopolitical risks encompass a broader range of regions, the probability of extreme scenarios materializing in global markets this year is higher. Regarding China's economy, the bank anticipates that mainland economic growth will maintain a steady momentum, driven by technology-related investments, productivity gains, and policies aimed at stimulating domestic demand. Even if China's foreign trade growth moderates this year, its proactive efforts to diversify trading partners and the easing of Sino-U.S. trade frictions are expected to help mitigate the related impacts.

免責聲明:投資有風險,本文並非投資建議,以上內容不應被視為任何金融產品的購買或出售要約、建議或邀請,作者或其他用戶的任何相關討論、評論或帖子也不應被視為此類內容。本文僅供一般參考,不考慮您的個人投資目標、財務狀況或需求。TTM對信息的準確性和完整性不承擔任何責任或保證,投資者應自行研究並在投資前尋求專業建議。

熱議股票

  1. 1
     
     
     
     
  2. 2
     
     
     
     
  3. 3
     
     
     
     
  4. 4
     
     
     
     
  5. 5
     
     
     
     
  6. 6
     
     
     
     
  7. 7
     
     
     
     
  8. 8
     
     
     
     
  9. 9
     
     
     
     
  10. 10