Option Focus | NVIDIA’s $4.51 Million Bearish Call Spread and $2.95 Million Long Put Reveal Institutional Skepticism as Bearish Flow Tops Bullish by $21.35 Million

Option Witch
08/20

NVIDIA Corporation closed at USD 217.56, down 0.99 percent.

Large options activity leaned decisively bearish, with the biggest block a $4.51 million net-credit bearish call spread and another a $2.95 million outright long put. Institutional flow totaled $28.36 million bearish versus $7.02 million bullish, a net bearish gap of $21.35 million, signaling that large traders are positioning for capped upside or meaningful downside rather than chasing further strength in NVDA shares.

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Options Indicators

NVDA’s implied volatility stands at 43.21%, with an IV percentile of 45.42% and an IV/HV ratio of 1.12. Taken together, this suggests current option pricing is in a neutral volatility regime rather than at an extreme: implied volatility is moderately above historical volatility, but the percentile indicates options are neither especially cheap nor especially expensive relative to their own recent range.

The Call/Put volume ratio is 1.68.

Large Trades

A bearish call spread with a $4.51 million net credit was the largest displayed trade, built by selling 5,000 Oct. 16, 2026 $220 calls and buying 5,000 Oct. 16, 2026 $250 calls. With NVDA referenced at $217.56, both call strikes were out of the money, and the structure reflects a classic premium-collection bearish stance: the trader is effectively capping upside exposure with the long $250 call while monetizing the expectation that shares stay below the short $220 strike or at least fail to rally aggressively through that zone by expiration. The use of a net credit spread points to a defined-risk bearish view rather than an outright naked call sale, suggesting the seller wants to express skepticism on upside while keeping risk controlled.

A PUT buy worth $2.95 million was the other highlighted trade, consisting of 1,500 contracts of the June 17, 2027 $200 put purchased outright. Since the $200 strike sits below the $217.56 reference price, the option was out of the money at execution, making this a straightforward bearish directional bet with longer-dated tenor. Buying this put gives the trader leveraged downside exposure while limiting risk to the premium paid, and the long maturity suggests concern about a meaningful pullback over an extended horizon rather than a very short-term hedge around immediate volatility.

Overall large-trade sentiment is clearly bearish, with $28.36 million in bearish flow versus $7.02 million in bullish flow, leaving a net bearish gap of $21.35 million. The conclusion from the block activity is that institutional-sized traders were leaning against further upside and positioning for downside or capped gains, as shown by the dominance of bearish spreads, put purchases, and premium-collecting bearish call structures. Even where risk was defined, the repeated use of bearish combinations indicates a market tone that is not pricing in confidence for sustained upside follow-through in NVDA.

Strategy Reference

For a low assignment probability on the call side, a seller could consider the Oct. 16, 2026 $250 call, which is far enough above spot and already used as a hedge leg in the largest bearish spread; for a defined-risk alternative without posting excessive margin, a bear call spread such as short $220 call / long $250 call mirrors the institutional positioning while capping loss potential.

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