Shifting Tides: Which A-share Lenders Are Growing Consumer Loans and Which Are Pulling Back

Deep News
昨天

The release of interim reports from A-share listed banks has thrown a spotlight on the increasingly divergent paths within China's consumer credit market. Data from East Money and individual bank disclosures reveals that as of the end of June, the combined personal consumer loan balances (excluding mortgages) of 42 A-share listed banks grew by over 270 billion yuan, keeping the total sector size stable in the 7 to 8 trillion yuan range. However, the underlying trends are far from uniform, with major state-owned banks driving expansion, most national joint-stock banks witnessing a retreat, and city and rural commercial banks showing a clear polarization.

On a broader industry scale, the contraction in consumer lending has been pronounced. The central bank's credit data shows that total household short-term and long-term consumer loan balances shrank by over 1 trillion yuan by the end of June, with the decline in short-term consumer loans serving as the primary driver. Experts suggest that while voluntary household deleveraging plays a role, institutional factors on the lending side are the more significant influence on these short-term loan figures.

State-Owned Giants Lead Expansion

The total personal consumer loan portfolio of the 42 listed banks reached approximately 7.5 trillion yuan by mid-2026, a modest increase of 272.545 billion yuan from the end of 2025. State-owned banks were the undisputed growth engine, adding a combined 363.4 billion yuan in the first half. Among them, ICBC recorded the highest absolute growth of 109.625 billion yuan, a 21.97% surge that accounted for roughly 40% of the total increase across all 42 banks. It was the only bank to add over 100 billion yuan in consumer loans in a single half-year period. Following closely were China Construction Bank, Agricultural Bank of China, and Bank of China, with increases of 98.599 billion yuan, 83.292 billion yuan, and 63.829 billion yuan respectively, all registering growth rates between 12% and 15%. Meanwhile, Postal Savings Bank saw its consumer loan book edge up 1.47% to 652.148 billion yuan, while Bank of Communications experienced a marginal decline of less than 0.50%.

Joint-Stock Banks Retreat

In stark contrast, the majority of national joint-stock banks saw their consumer loan balances shrink. Seven out of nine A-share listed joint-stock banks reported declines from the end of 2025, with their combined reduction totaling approximately 102.4 billion yuan. Shanghai Pudong Development Bank and China Merchants Bank were the only two in this group to achieve growth, with increases of 5.67% and 4.98%, respectively. On the downside, China Zheshang Bank saw a sharp 15.49% drop, while China CITIC Bank and Industrial Bank fell by 11.72% and 11.86%. China Minsheng Bank's personal loans, including comprehensive consumer and auto loans, declined by 11.74%, and Hua Xia Bank's non-mortgage retail lending fell by 11.52%.

City and Rural Banks Split

The city commercial bank segment displayed starkly divergent performances. Bank of Guiyang led its peers with a 16.72% surge in parent-company consumer loans (excluding credit cards) to 10.053 billion yuan. Bank of Chengdu saw its consumer loan portfolio breach the 30 billion yuan mark, reaching 31.414 billion yuan, a 9.44% increase, while Bank of Changsha grew by 6.25% to 83.334 billion yuan. Conversely, Bank of Xi'an experienced a precipitous 50.16% decline, Lanzhou Bank fell by 28.00%, and both Bank of Qingdao and Bank of Chongqing saw reductions of 15.42% and 11.98%, respectively. Rural commercial banks mirrored this polarization, with Qingdao Rural Commercial Bank and Ruifeng Bank posting gains of 17.91% and 11.75%, while Zhangjiagang Rural Commercial Bank, Jiangsu Suzhou Rural Commercial Bank, Changshu Rural Commercial Bank, and Shanghai Rural Commercial Bank all recorded positive growth. In contrast, Jiangyin Rural Commercial Bank and Chongqing Rural Commercial Bank saw their loan balances drop by 10.43% and 16.89%, respectively.

Sector-Wide Contraction Exceeds One Trillion

Central bank data illustrates a fluctuating downward trend in total household loans during the first half of 2026. After dipping below 83 trillion yuan at the end of April, the balance recovered slightly to 82.90 trillion yuan by June, still a reduction of about 370 billion yuan from the 83.27 trillion yuan recorded at the end of 2025. A structural divergence is evident, with business loans growing—short-term balances rose to 10.99 trillion yuan and long-term balances to 14.80 trillion yuan—while consumer loans contracted sharply. Household short-term consumer loans fell by over 660 billion yuan (approximately 7%) to 8.82 trillion yuan, and long-term consumer loans decreased by more than 380 billion yuan to 48.29 trillion yuan. Combined, household consumer loan balances shrank by over 1 trillion yuan in the first half of the year. A four-year retrospective shows short-term consumer loans peaked at over 10 trillion yuan in mid-2023, hovered around that level through 2024, and have been on a consistent downward path since, now falling below the 9 trillion yuan threshold.

This contraction is reflected in the banks' overall personal loan operations. Nearly 70% of the 42 listed banks reported reductions in their total personal loan balances, with only 14 achieving growth. Agricultural Bank of China led with a 3.34% increase, adding roughly 309.4 billion yuan. China Merchants Bank, often dubbed the "King of Retail," saw its retail loan scale decrease by 1.08% from the end of last year, even as retail banking contributes over 50% of its revenue. The bank's president emphasized a strategic shift away from simply pursuing scale, prioritizing quality, efficiency, and a balanced structure in its retail credit portfolio amid high cyclical risks in personal lending and weakened market demand.

Household Leverage Drops in Q2

The contraction in consumer lending is mirrored in macro leverage data. The National Institution for Finance and Development's Q2 2026 report shows the household sector's leverage ratio fell to 57.7%, a 1.3 percentage point decrease from Q1, marking a continuous deleveraging trend since Q2 2024. Consumer loan growth (excluding mortgages) worsened from -0.2% in Q1 to -1.8% in Q2, indicating mounting pressure. This is attributed to two main factors: persistently weak housing prices suppressing consumer sentiment and low growth in per capita disposable income constraining spending potential. Analysts suggest that while demand-side factors dominate the decline in long-term consumer loans, institutional factors are more significant for short-term loans. Banks and other lenders have been actively compressing high-yield assets in response to new regulatory pressures, including the 2025助贷新规 (new rules on internet loan assistance), which mandate stricter centralized management and risk pricing for commercial banks' internet lending partnerships.

Since the new rules were introduced in April 2025, many commercial banks have updated their lists of approved internet loan cooperation platforms, generally reducing the number of partners. This trend continued in July, with several banks, including China Resources Bank, WeBank, and Fumin Bank, trimming their approved partner rosters. Concurrently, the助贷 institutions themselves are scaling back. Major platforms reported significant reductions in origination volumes in Q1, with Qifu Technology seeing a 26.80% year-on-year decrease to 65.034 billion yuan and Xiaoying Technology's loan facilitation dropping nearly 60% to 14.63 billion yuan. This synchronized pullback from both banks and their partners marks a definitive shift in the consumer credit landscape.

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