On September 25, CHINA OVERSEAS fell 3.1% in regular trading, trading at HKD 12.24, with turnover of approximately HKD 16.32 million. The broader property sector weakened in tandem, with SUNAC down 3.08%, LONGFOR GROUP down 1.74%, and CHINA RES LAND down 1.31%.

The pullback followed a sharp sector-wide rally earlier in the week, fueled by market speculation that a national-level mortgage interest subsidy policy would be unveiled ahead of the National Day holiday. Rumors suggested fiscal subsidies of up to 100 basis points, potentially pushing first-home mortgage rates to the 2% level, with an alternative version citing a RMB 100 billion quota with a 20-basis-point subsidy. However, multiple brokerage analysts have since expressed skepticism, noting that a nationwide interest subsidy policy is unlikely to materialize. JPMorgan also cautioned that even if implemented, the actual impact would be highly dependent on scale and execution details, with upper limits potentially compressing the substantive stimulus effect significantly.

Adding to the cautious tone, Citi warned in a recent research note that the transition to a completed-property sales system could cause new home transaction volumes and new construction starts to decline by 30% over the next two years, while developer profitability may contract by 8% to 17%. Separately, Pzena Investment Management reduced its stake in CHINA OVERSEAS on September 21, selling 2.709 million shares at an average price of HKD 12.2, lowering its holding to 4.99%.

(The above content is based on publicly available market information, generated by a program or algorithm, and is intended solely as a stock movement alert. It does not constitute investment advice or a basis for trading decisions.)