Rising oil prices are generating increased revenue for Russia, while eased sanctions have boosted its export volumes. Concurrently, the diversion of U.S. attention is weakening support for Ukraine. Iran's substantial consumption of weapons and ammunition not only limits the scale of military aid Europe can purchase and transfer to Ukraine but also highlights vulnerabilities in U.S. defense systems. Threats to the Strait of Hormuz and other transit routes are driving up energy prices, compelling nations to seek alternative supplies and thereby benefiting rival powers like Russia.