Gaming Stocks Decline Again as Morgan Stanley Predicts Slowing Revenue Growth from May

Stock News
03/30

Gaming stocks in Hong Kong experienced further declines. At the time of writing, Sands China Ltd (01928) fell 3.96% to HK$26.27, SJM Holdings (00880) dropped 3.24% to HK$2.09, Melco Int'l Dev (00200) decreased 3.17% to HK$3.67, and Galaxy Ent (00027) declined 2.65% to HK$34.5.

A research report from Citi indicated that industry data showed Macau's gross gaming revenue for the first 22 days of March may have reached approximately MOP 15.6 billion. This implies the average daily revenue over the past week was around MOP 721 million, about 3% higher than the week of March 9 and approximately 14% higher than March of last year. The bank maintained its forecast for March's total gaming revenue to reach MOP 22 billion.

Morgan Stanley stated that it expects Macau gaming stocks to underperform the broader market in the near term. The institution forecasts Macau's gaming revenue to grow by 6% this year, with EBITDA increasing by only 2%, which is below market expectations and represents a weakening compared to the previous year. Due to base effects impacting revenue in the second half of the year, growth is anticipated to slow, compounded by persistent weakness in the mass market segment. Morgan Stanley predicts that gaming revenue growth will slow on a year-on-year basis starting in May, with negative EBITDA growth expected in the second and third quarters.

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