On December 15, last Friday's analysis suggested that market expectations of further Fed rate cuts in 2024 would support gold prices. Technically, gold had broken upward from a two-week consolidation range, indicating potential for further gains. Key support levels were identified at $4,300 and $4,285, with resistance at the all-time high of $4,381.
Subsequent price action saw gold extend its rally during the European session, peaking at $4,339 before pulling back. After the U.S. market opened, prices surged to a one-month high of $4,353 before a sharp drop to $4,257. However, gold quickly rebounded, stabilizing above $4,285 and resuming its upward trajectory on Monday, reaching $4,350. Currently trading near $4,342, gold has maintained its bullish momentum, aligning with earlier projections.
Analyst Huang Lichen from Wolfinance noted that gold has risen for five consecutive sessions, approaching its record high of $4,381. The rally stems from the Fed's recent 25-basis-point rate cut and Chair Powell's remarks highlighting labor market risks, which fueled speculation of two additional cuts in 2024. This dovish outlook has pressured the dollar to a two-month low. Diverging Fed votes and geopolitical uncertainties have further driven safe-haven demand, underpinning gold's strength.
On the daily chart, gold's breakout from its consolidation phase signals accelerating upward momentum. Immediate support lies at $4,330 (Asian session breakout level), followed by $4,300, where early dips found buyers. Resistance is eyed at $4,353 (Friday’s peak), with a break above potentially targeting $4,381. Technical indicators (5-day MA, MACD, RSI, and KDJ) all point to sustained upside potential post-consolidation.
Trading Strategy: Fed easing expectations continue to buoy gold near record highs. Approach with a range-trading mindset—support at $4,330, with $4,300 as a secondary level holding bullish potential. A breakout above $4,353 could retest $4,381.
Disclaimer: Market conditions may change rapidly; investors should assess risks independently.