Analysts at CLSA have published a report indicating that BYD Company Limited has completed its consolidation phase, with expectations for its market dominance to return in the second half of this year, unlocking growth potential in overseas markets and its energy storage systems (ESS) business.

The report highlights that BYD's overseas sales for the first half of the year reached 792,200 units, representing a year-on-year increase of 71%. With channel expansion and the launch of new models, the momentum for overseas exports is anticipated to accelerate in the latter half of the year. Full-year sales for 2026 are projected to exceed 1.8 million units, reaching a historic high of approximately 2.5 million units by 2027, which is expected to contribute around 80% of profits.

Regarding the domestic market, production capacity for the second-generation fast-charging models is expected to be gradually released in the second half of the year. These models are forecasted to account for about 30% of total deliveries in 2026, with an average price premium of RMB 5,000 to RMB 20,000 per new model, sufficient to offset current cost inflation.

Furthermore, the report notes BYD's leading advantage in the energy storage systems (ESS) sector, with its fast-charging technology ecosystem being 6 to 12 months ahead of the industry.

CLSA forecasts that BYD's second-quarter operating revenue will reach RMB 212.6 billion, a sequential increase of 42%. Net profit is projected to rise to RMB 7.2 billion, up 76.7% quarter-on-quarter, primarily benefiting from a strong overseas product mix and premiumization efforts.

The firm has reiterated its "high conviction outperform" rating on the stock, maintaining its H-share target price at HK$120 and its A-share target price at RMB 120.