Gold Finds Temporary Support as Inflation Outlook Improves

Deep News
昨天

Gold prices showed resilience on Tuesday, with COMEX gold reversing early losses to close at $4,396.20 per ounce, up 0.28%. The intraday move reflected a bounce from initial selling pressure as market participants weighed improving inflation expectations against lingering concerns over future rate hikes.

On the domestic front, SHFE gold opened slightly higher during the night session and accelerated gains toward the close, settling at 941.10 yuan per gram, a rise of 0.36%. The positive momentum in both markets suggests that investors are cautiously re-engaging with the precious metal amid mixed macroeconomic signals.

Employment data from ADP revealed that U.S. private sector payrolls grew by an average of 20,000 jobs per week over the four weeks ending September 5. This softer labor market reading has reinforced expectations that economic momentum may be cooling, which could limit the Federal Reserve's appetite for aggressive monetary tightening.

The Boston Fed President voiced support for last week's rate increase, arguing that higher borrowing costs are essential to ensure inflation returns to its target range. However, the latest dot plot following the Fed's September decision indicates the possibility of one additional hike before year-end, while internal disagreements among policymakers over using rates to combat inflation have capped gold's speculative upside.

Geopolitical developments also played a role, as former President Trump noted that negotiations with Iran are ongoing and could eventually lead to an agreement. This potential easing of tensions may reduce safe-haven demand for gold, although the market remains attentive to any signs of escalation.

Looking ahead, investors are closely monitoring U.S. economic and employment trends. Any data points that fall short of expectations could strengthen the market's conviction in a stagflation narrative, potentially drawing more capital into gold as a hedge. At the same time, there are signs that energy inflation has become a shared target for policymakers, adding further uncertainty to the Fed's rate trajectory for the remainder of the year.

Given these dynamics, gold is likely to remain constrained by ongoing worries about additional rate hikes. Traders should exercise caution and avoid overextending positions, as the metal's near-term direction hinges on both inflation data and central bank communications.

免責聲明:投資有風險,本文並非投資建議,以上內容不應被視為任何金融產品的購買或出售要約、建議或邀請,作者或其他用戶的任何相關討論、評論或帖子也不應被視為此類內容。本文僅供一般參考,不考慮您的個人投資目標、財務狀況或需求。TTM對信息的準確性和完整性不承擔任何責任或保證,投資者應自行研究並在投資前尋求專業建議。

熱議股票

  1. 1
     
     
     
     
  2. 2
     
     
     
     
  3. 3
     
     
     
     
  4. 4
     
     
     
     
  5. 5
     
     
     
     
  6. 6
     
     
     
     
  7. 7
     
     
     
     
  8. 8
     
     
     
     
  9. 9
     
     
     
     
  10. 10