Strong Economy Bolsters Currency Resilience: ING Bullish on Swedish Krona's Medium-Term Outlook

Deep News
2025/10/31

ING Groep NV currency strategist Francesco Pesole noted in a research report that Sweden's robust economic growth is reinforcing the resilience of the krona, which will support the currency's appreciation trend through 2026. Analysts expect Sweden's central bank to keep its benchmark rate steady at 1.75% during Wednesday's monetary policy meeting, maintaining a wait-and-see stance in the coming months—following a symbolic 25-basis-point rate cut in September.

"Sweden's GDP growth exceeding 2% sufficiently offsets the disadvantage of sub-2% benchmark rates," Pesole emphasized. As a typical risk-sensitive currency, the krona will also benefit from improved global liquidity after the Federal Reserve begins its rate-cutting cycle. ING set a mid-2025 target of 10.50 for EUR/SEK, implying 3.8% potential appreciation from current levels. Real-time data shows EUR/SEK edged up 0.1% to 10.9256, remaining near the upper bound of its three-month price channel.

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