Gold Stocks Under Pressure as Middle East Conflict Fuels Inflation Concerns

Stock News
6小時前

Gold stocks faced downward pressure in Hong Kong trading. At the time of writing, ZIJIN GOLD INTL (02259) fell 4.8% to HK$172.7, LINGBAO GOLD (03330) dropped 4.52% to HK$25.36, and SD GOLD (01787) declined 3.07% to HK$32.18. Market attention remains focused on developments in the Middle East. On April 16, the U.S. President announced that Lebanon and Israel had reached a ten-day ceasefire agreement, with Israel agreeing to the truce but stating it would not withdraw troops from southern Lebanon. The President also indicated that the next meeting between the U.S. and Iran could occur this weekend. Furthermore, the President of the New York Fed stated that the Middle East conflict is already increasing inflationary pressures, while uncertainty about the outlook limits the guidance the Federal Reserve can provide on future interest rate policy. A Federal Reserve Governor noted that, given inflation's persistence beyond expectations, he might further reduce his expectations for the number of future interest rate cuts. Analysis from CITIC Futures suggests that based on the market's reaction to this round of geopolitical tensions, gold has not significantly outperformed risk assets. Instead, it declined alongside U.S. stocks during the escalation phase of the Iran conflict, indicating that the current market pricing for gold is no longer solely based on traditional safe-haven logic but has shifted more towards the framework of inflation, interest rates, and liquidity. If the conflict escalates further, an energy shock could push inflation expectations higher. This, by increasing global bond yields and strengthening central banks' cautious stance, could create a countervailing constraint on gold. Conversely, if the conflict eases, a reduction in risk premium would similarly weaken the momentum for chasing gold's gains.

免責聲明:投資有風險,本文並非投資建議,以上內容不應被視為任何金融產品的購買或出售要約、建議或邀請,作者或其他用戶的任何相關討論、評論或帖子也不應被視為此類內容。本文僅供一般參考,不考慮您的個人投資目標、財務狀況或需求。TTM對信息的準確性和完整性不承擔任何責任或保證,投資者應自行研究並在投資前尋求專業建議。

熱議股票

  1. 1
     
     
     
     
  2. 2
     
     
     
     
  3. 3
     
     
     
     
  4. 4
     
     
     
     
  5. 5
     
     
     
     
  6. 6
     
     
     
     
  7. 7
     
     
     
     
  8. 8
     
     
     
     
  9. 9
     
     
     
     
  10. 10