FIRST SHANGHAI Initiates Buy Rating on Gaotu Techedu with $4.2 Target Price

Deep News
12/15

FIRST SHANGHAI's latest research report highlights Gaotu Techedu Inc. (NYSE: GOTU) delivered strong performance in FY25Q3 (ending September 30, 2025), with revenue rising 30.7% YoY to RMB1.58 billion, hitting the upper end of guidance. Non-GAAP operating losses narrowed significantly to RMB169 million from RMB476 million YoY, while Non-GAAP net losses improved to RMB138 million from RMB457 million. The company maintains robust financials with RMB3.04 billion in cash and equivalents and zero interest-bearing debt.

By segment, non-academic training and traditional K12 businesses contributed ~80% of total revenue, growing over 35% YoY. Non-academic training revenue surged 60+% YoY, achieving quarterly profitability with full-year double-digit margin expectations. Adult/college segment (~15% of revenue) posted double-digit growth in both revenue and cash receipts, with college business revenue jumping 50% YoY and turning profitable quarterly.

For FY25Q4, Gaotu projects 17.2%-18.7% YoY revenue growth (RMB1.628-1.648 billion), with slower sequential pace due to delayed 2026 Lunar New Year impacting teaching schedules. While Q4 Non-GAAP operating loss may reach RMB150 million from enrollment investments and restructuring, the company emphasizes operational efficiency, with offline learning centers exceeding 10% revenue contribution and AI-driven productivity gains.

Applying a 12% discount rate and -1% terminal growth (accounting for demographic pressures), FIRST SHANGHAI maintains a "Buy" rating with $4.2 target price, implying 77.1% upside from last close, citing long-term healthy growth potential.

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