Fed's Logan Warns of Potential Need to Reduce Global Oil and Gas Consumption

Deep News
05/27

Dallas Fed President Lorie Logan stated on Wednesday that the world may need to find ways to reduce its reliance on oil and gas if the Strait of Hormuz remains closed for an extended period due to the U.S.-Israel conflict with Iran.

During the three-month conflict, Iran has blocked shipping through the Strait of Hormuz, leading to increased prices for energy, food, and fertilizer. Prior to the war, approximately one-fifth of the world's oil and liquefied natural gas passed through this waterway.

In prepared remarks for a Bank of Japan conference, Logan said, "In a situation of highly constrained supply, if shipping through the strait does not return to pre-war levels soon, global oil and gas consumption may need to decline more significantly than currently anticipated. The economic consequences will depend on the extent to which end-users can switch to other energy sources or improve energy efficiency, rather than reducing economic activity."

Executives from U.S. oil companies, in a recent Dallas Fed survey, indicated they expect U.S. oil production to increase by only 250,000 barrels per day this year and 500,000 barrels per day next year.

In contrast, global oil supply has decreased by approximately 13 million barrels per day since the start of the Iran conflict. Logan noted that this shortfall is currently being addressed mainly by drawing down limited inventories.

"Regardless, I expect energy markets to roughly return to a balance between supply and demand in the near future," Logan said. "Without physical energy supply, there can be no discussion of global consumption."

Logan was one of three Federal Reserve policymakers who dissented in last month's interest rate decision. They argued that, given rising energy and other prices, the U.S. central bank should signal that interest rate hikes are as likely as cuts.

In a closed-door press briefing on Wednesday, her prepared remarks did not include any near-term economic forecasts or comments on monetary policy.

免責聲明:投資有風險,本文並非投資建議,以上內容不應被視為任何金融產品的購買或出售要約、建議或邀請,作者或其他用戶的任何相關討論、評論或帖子也不應被視為此類內容。本文僅供一般參考,不考慮您的個人投資目標、財務狀況或需求。TTM對信息的準確性和完整性不承擔任何責任或保證,投資者應自行研究並在投資前尋求專業建議。

熱議股票

  1. 1
     
     
     
     
  2. 2
     
     
     
     
  3. 3
     
     
     
     
  4. 4
     
     
     
     
  5. 5
     
     
     
     
  6. 6
     
     
     
     
  7. 7
     
     
     
     
  8. 8
     
     
     
     
  9. 9
     
     
     
     
  10. 10