On August 13, TENCENT declined 3.51% in regular trading, trading at 449.2 HKD/share, with turnover of 4.177 billion HKD. The selloff followed the release of Q2 earnings after the prior session's close.
TENCENT reported Q2 revenue of 204.79 billion RMB, up 11% year-over-year and slightly above consensus. However, capital expenditure surged 176% to 527.8 billion RMB — exceeding the market estimate of 321.4 billion by over 60% — driven by massive AI computing power procurement. Free cash flow turned negative to -13.8 billion RMB, while net profit of 56.02 billion RMB missed the 58.36 billion consensus. Non-IFRS operating profit rose 9% to 75.64 billion RMB, but excluding new AI product impacts, growth was 19%.
Morgan Stanley noted that solid core fundamentals were offset by front-loaded AI investment, cutting its target price over 15% to 550 HKD while maintaining an overweight rating. In contrast, Citi raised its target to 765 HKD. Management characterized the spending as a one-time infrastructure buildout rather than linear annual increases, emphasizing that algorithm capacity could be rented out at 30%+ margins above procurement cost if needed.
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