BofA's Take on U.S. Earnings Season: A Steady Second Week Devoid of Surprises, Beats Ratio Declines Sequentially

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According to a report, the global research team at Bank of America stated that the second week of the U.S. earnings season delivered solid yet unspectacular results, with overall trends remaining steady and showing no signs of accelerating improvement. Following a relatively light round of new earnings reports, BofA pointed out that 64 S&P 500 index constituents have now reported their results, accounting for approximately 18% of the index's total earnings. Key performance metrics remained largely flat compared to the previous week. Among the companies that have reported, about 70% achieved earnings per share that beat expectations. This proportion is higher than the historical average of 64% for the second week of an earnings season but is significantly lower than the beat rate of 79% seen in the previous quarter. Bank of America emphasized that the overall average magnitude by which companies are beating earnings estimates is approximately 7%, slightly lower than the 8% level observed during the same period of the previous earnings season. Based on a comprehensive calculation incorporating both reported results and analyst forecasts, the market's consensus expectation for fourth-quarter earnings per share is a year-on-year increase of about 7%, unchanged from last week. Bank of America, however, anticipates that the final year-on-year growth rate for Q4 EPS will be closer to 11% and noted that related upside risks still exist. The pace of earnings releases is set to accelerate significantly this week, with over 100 S&P 500 constituent companies, representing about one-third of the index's total earnings, scheduled to report. This week is also expected to be the second busiest of this earnings season. The technology sector is poised to be the focal point of the earnings season, with Microsoft (MSFT.US), Meta Platforms (META.US), Tesla (TSLA.US), and Apple (AAPL.US) all set to report their results successively.

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