Analysis: Euro/Yen Could Hit New Record High as BOJ's Rate Hike Pace Lags

Deep News
01/05

Due to the Bank of Japan's apparent reluctance to accelerate the pace of policy tightening, the euro is poised to rise against the yen, with the extent of the gains remaining an open question. Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda reiterated on Monday plans to continue raising the benchmark interest rate, but this rhetoric has been repeated numerous times before. The BOJ is committed to nurturing the budding economic recovery, and inflation-adjusted interest rates are expected to remain deeply in negative territory, which will be unfavorable for the yen.

In the eurozone, although there is room for further policy easing based on the central bank's own expectations for the neutral rate, the market now believes the European Central Bank will not need to do so. The ECB's upward revisions to HICP and core inflation support traders' expectations that the bank will not implement further rate cuts, especially considering the improved regional growth prospects. Rising German government bond yields are also expected to support the euro, as the country's longer-dated bonds may continue to face pressure given this year's record issuance volume and increased fiscal spending. The euro/yen pair touched 185 yen last month before retreating nearly 1%, but it is likely to recoup these losses and set a new record high in the coming months.

免責聲明:投資有風險,本文並非投資建議,以上內容不應被視為任何金融產品的購買或出售要約、建議或邀請,作者或其他用戶的任何相關討論、評論或帖子也不應被視為此類內容。本文僅供一般參考,不考慮您的個人投資目標、財務狀況或需求。TTM對信息的準確性和完整性不承擔任何責任或保證,投資者應自行研究並在投資前尋求專業建議。

熱議股票

  1. 1
     
     
     
     
  2. 2
     
     
     
     
  3. 3
     
     
     
     
  4. 4
     
     
     
     
  5. 5
     
     
     
     
  6. 6
     
     
     
     
  7. 7
     
     
     
     
  8. 8
     
     
     
     
  9. 9
     
     
     
     
  10. 10