How is the Fundamentals of the Hang Seng Technology Index? Caitong Securities Lists 11 Blue Chip Stocks, Including Lenovo and Tencent

Stock News
10/17

Recently, Caitong Securities' team led by Hao Yanhui released a research report stating that the Hang Seng Technology sector is in the early stages of a rebound in macro liquidity, resonating with the AI technology cycle, presenting high mid-term allocation value. What is the current fundamental situation of the Hang Seng Technology Index? On the molecular level, the underlying logic benefits from the explosive growth in applications and content brought about by technological transformations, currently at the starting point of the AI technology cycle. The mid-to-long-term logic lies in the competition for user numbers and user duration in the stock market against the backdrop of gradually fading traffic dividends, as well as the operation and optimization of business models, which tests the organizational capability behind it. Following the decline of traffic dividends, high-quality companies are showing impressive shareholder return capabilities; in the medium-to-short term, key factors to track include changes in EPS and policies, particularly the outstanding performance of profits across the entire consumer sector. What is the current beta context for the Hang Seng Technology Index? On the denominator side, after experiencing the Federal Reserve's fastest and most aggressive interest rate hikes since the 1980s, from a mid-term (more than one year) perspective, an important variable influencing the liquidity of Hang Seng Technology— the Federal Reserve has entered a liquidity easing phase since September. In terms of valuation, the price-to-earnings ratio (TTM) of Hang Seng Technology is currently at the 34th percentile of the past five years. Regarding investment recommendations, the Hao Yanhui team suggests looking ahead to focus on areas aligned with the AI theme, particularly segments expected to achieve performance results first. On one hand, benefiting from accelerated capital expenditure by global giants, the AI hardware and computing power supply chain continues to thrive amid resonance on both cloud and edge; on the other hand, software applications and content ecosystems are in the early stages of AI empowerment, looking favorably at overseas software earnings releases and advancements in other industries bringing opportunities to 「hard-cut soft.」 Additionally, consumer technology sectors such as e-commerce, local living, and advertising marketing are performing steadily under policy stimuli and operational efficiencies; intelligent driving and transportation scenarios are accelerating implementation, poised to become new growth momentum for the industry. Overall, the recommendation is to continue to overweight the Hang Seng Technology sector, focusing on high-performance certainty and leading companies in AI technology and content ecosystems: Preferred: Tencent Holdings for mid-term elasticity; Stable slow growers: Lenovo Group, China Literature Group, Trip.com Group, Sunny Optical Technology. Elasticity candidates: Kuaishou, Horizon Robotics, Kingdee International, Xpeng Motors.

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