The Nasdaq exchange has consistently modified its rules to attract major listings, a strategy now in the spotlight as SpaceX prepares for a potentially record-breaking IPO this Friday.
In March, Nasdaq CEO Adena Friedman spoke at a Washington Economic Club event. When asked about using the exchange's indices to attract companies, she was candid about the approach.
During an interview with Carlyle Group Chairman David Rubenstein, Friedman highlighted Nasdaq's core advantage over other exchanges: its operation of the influential Nasdaq-100 Index. The composition rules of this benchmark index guide the investment direction of funds managing approximately $800 billion, meaning Nasdaq can effectively steer capital towards companies listed on its platform.
"The Nasdaq-100 is the only index in the United States that is directly tied to a listing venue," Friedman stated. Through its influence on related investment funds, Nasdaq indirectly holds an economic interest equivalent to 3-4% of the companies in the index.
Under Friedman's leadership over the past decade, Nasdaq's stock price has roughly tripled, giving it a current market capitalization of $49.5 billion. The upcoming listing of SpaceX, which could become the largest IPO in history, may serve as the most powerful validation of this operational strategy.
In recent years, Nasdaq has actively pursued major IPO listings, with SpaceX being the latest target. These efforts, combined with proactive outreach and a generally favorable environment for tech markets, are showing results. Recently, Nasdaq revised the Nasdaq-100 index rules, shortening the inclusion timeline for new, large-cap listings.
This means exchange-traded funds and other index funds tracking the benchmark will be forced to quickly purchase these new stocks. Concurrently, Nasdaq has secured new index licensing agreements with more top-tier asset managers. Just the popular Invesco ETFs QQQ and QQQM, a long-term partner, could be compelled to buy around $6 billion worth of SpaceX stock due to this rule change; the total buying pressure from all Nasdaq-linked funds is estimated at $8.5 billion.
This buying volume represents about 11% of SpaceX's expected free float, with all trades required within 15 days of listing. The index funds' final ownership stake will depend on SpaceX's share price at that time. Other major index providers like MSCI, FTSE Russell, and Morningstar have made similar adjustments, but Nasdaq's move is more aggressive. It is also the only index provider to set a higher index weight for SpaceX by deviating from the standard free-float methodology.
Marco Sammon, an assistant professor of finance at Harvard Business School who studies index inclusion effects, noted, "It is unprecedented for so many indexes to include a company in their indexes so quickly after it goes public."
Nasdaq has stated that the weight setting actually includes a cap designed to control SpaceX's influence within the index and prevent its theoretical weight based on total market capitalization from being too high.
A Nasdaq spokesperson explained that the rule adjustments are meant to adapt to a market landscape that has changed significantly over the past decade, where companies stay private longer, go public at a larger scale, and have more complex ownership structures. The changes were not made for a single company and align with updates other major index providers have made in response to market evolution.
In contrast, S&P Dow Jones Indices, operator of the S&P 500, stated last week that it would not relax its eligibility rules. The S&P 500 still maintains profitability requirements, which SpaceX, weighed down by losses in its AI business, is unlikely to meet in the short term.
The divergent approaches of the two major index providers, coupled with SpaceX's imminent listing, have drawn widespread attention to this niche segment of finance. Index providers wield significant influence over capital flows. In the U.S., exchange listing fees are subject to regulatory caps, but index businesses face far less direct oversight, with rule-making and execution largely left to the institutions themselves.
While indexes are commonly perceived as passive reflections of the market, the Nasdaq-100 is neither a broad-market index like the S&P 500 nor a pure sector index. It selects the 100 largest non-financial companies listed on Nasdaq, heavily weighted towards tech but also including firms like Costco, Starbucks, and Walmart, which joined in late 2025.
Critics have emerged, arguing that the bundling of index licensing and listing business interests could ultimately harm investors. The extremely short inclusion timeline also raises operational and technical risks. Furthermore, social media sentiment suggests many retail investors, a key target for SpaceX, are dissatisfied with the index changes.
Michael Green, Chief Market Strategist at Simplify Asset Management, believes Nasdaq is leveraging the influence of its index and products like QQQ to create a competitive edge in the battle for listings. "Everyone on the team wants the company to do well, but in the heat of competition, they are forced to make bad choices," he said.
Nasdaq's Integrated Playbook
While SpaceX benefits from the rule changes, Nasdaq's own business also stands to gain. The trading frenzy around the SpaceX listing will generate exchange-related transaction revenue, although most stock trading now occurs off-exchange.
This is only part of the benefit. Firms like Invesco pay Nasdaq hundreds of millions of dollars annually for index licenses to issue ETFs and other funds, with fees typically based on a percentage of assets under management. Securities filings show index licensing fees have become a core revenue stream for Nasdaq: since 2021, revenue from this segment has grown 80%, far outpacing the 18% growth in listing revenue.
The decades-long boom in passive investing has deeply intertwined the interests of index providers and fund managers. Passive funds aim to track an index rather than pick stocks. Invesco's QQQ fund, launched in 1999 based on the Nasdaq-100, has grown into one of the world's largest ETFs by consistently outperforming most major benchmarks.
This is not the first time Nasdaq has changed core rules ahead of a major listing. In 2012, ahead of Facebook's Nasdaq debut, the exchange significantly shortened the waiting period, allowing its inclusion in the index just 90 days after going public.
Patrick Healy, CEO of the corporate advisory firm Issuer Network, revealed that the 2012 change was made at Facebook's request, a client of his at the time. Facebook, later renamed Meta, raised $16 billion in its IPO, then a record for a tech company and one of Nasdaq's largest listings ever. The debut was rocky, marred by technical glitches at the opening, and the stock traded below its IPO price for over a year. The SEC later fined Nasdaq $10 million over the incident, finding it failed to adequately prepare for the large IPO.
When Friedman became CEO in 2017, assets in funds tracking the Nasdaq-100 were around $100 billion, far below current levels. During that period, several tech companies chose to list on rival NYSE, including Snap in early 2017 and Uber two years later.
Ann Dennison, Nasdaq's former CFO, told an investor conference in 2022 that after missing several listings, the company began aggressively pitching its integrated advantages to potential issuers. "Our core thinking on the listing business hasn't changed, but we are constantly exploring optimizations," she said.
After losing the listing battle for several high-profile companies, Nasdaq refined its strategy, emphasizing the potential for new listings to be included in its flagship index. In 2020, Nasdaq secured the listing for Airbnb, followed by Rivian, ARM, and last year, Medline.
Data from Dealogic shows that in recent years, the number of tech IPOs on Nasdaq has been triple that on the NYSE, with total proceeds raised roughly double. Large companies like Walmart have also recently switched their listings from NYSE to Nasdaq.
Karen Snow, Nasdaq's former Global Head of Listings, noted, "The potential for inclusion in the Nasdaq-100 is one of the top five reasons companies choose to list on Nasdaq. The index itself can materially drive a stock's performance."
However, high interest rates suppressing valuations and longer periods of staying private have led to an overall decline in tech IPO volume. Even with last year's market recovery, Dealogic data shows Nasdaq's annual tech IPO count was only half of 2021's level.
In this environment, SpaceX and other potential mega-IPOs have become highly sought-after prizes for exchanges, allowing Nasdaq to further promote its capital-attracting capabilities. Goldman Sachs bankers noted in a private meeting last November that future large tech IPOs would heavily depend on retail investors and passive funds, which together constitute about 70% of the investor base for giants like Nvidia, Microsoft, and Alphabet.
It was during this period that Nasdaq initiated its latest round of rule revisions, going further than the changes made for Facebook: further shortening the inclusion timeline and, for companies like SpaceX with a limited free float at listing, increasing their index weight. The latter is a particularly attractive new benefit, forcing index-tracking funds to buy more shares.
Additionally, Nasdaq has struck new deals with top index fund managers BlackRock and State Street Global Advisors, licensing them to launch ETFs linked to the Nasdaq-100. Combined with its long-term partnership with Invesco, this brings more industry giants into the ecosystem. Both firms filed for product launches in April, though specific timelines are not yet public.
Beyond SpaceX, two other capital-intensive companies, OpenAI and Anthropic, are also planning to go public. Friedman declined to comment on these firms in her March interview but endorsed the choice for tech companies to tap public markets for funding.
"We fight for every single listing. Always have," she stated.
Underlying Risks and Concerns
Now, index providers and fund managers find themselves intertwined with SpaceX's controversial IPO. The company remains deeply unprofitable and imposes strict governance limitations on shareholders. Typically, new stocks often trade below their IPO price in the first few months; if SpaceX's stock falls, the negative impact could spread across the entire index constituent base.
Industry insiders also worry that the sheer size of this IPO inherently carries significant risks. Healy, who advised on the Facebook and ARM listings, warned that drastically shortening the inclusion timeline could drag down other stocks in the index if SpaceX or other fast-tracked listings decline post-IPO.
"You're pushing the envelope to such an extreme, you're asking for trouble. It's a high-risk proposition," he said.
Furthermore, SpaceX is allocating a significant portion of shares to retail investors, whose trading behavior is harder to predict than institutions, increasing the risk of severe price volatility and potentially souring overall market sentiment.
At the request for analysis, market intelligence firm PeakMetrics tracked social media sentiment regarding the SpaceX IPO from May 18 to June 2. On platforms like X and Reddit, criticism of Nasdaq's rapid inclusion of the stock intensified, with the volume of negative posts surging fourfold between May 29 and June 1.
Friedman has defended the index rule changes, stressing that Nasdaq's index business and its exchange listing business operate independently. In an April interview, she stated that the rule revisions were made entirely independently by the index team. She added that investors holding the relevant index funds are free to redeem their shares and exit.
"At the end of the day, investors have the choice to switch to other index products."