UBS has released a research report indicating that recent volatility in Chinese equities is linked to the closure of the Strait of Hormuz. Over the past month, the correlation between Chinese stocks and the MSCI AC World Index has risen from a historical average of 0.6 to nearly 0.8. The bank believes that even if the strait reopens, energy prices may remain elevated for an extended period. UBS is approaching its downside scenario projection, which assumes disruptions lasting until the end of April, potentially pushing oil prices to $130 per barrel and causing a 10% to 12% decline in the S&P 500 index. Due to rising inflation limiting further room for interest rate cuts, UBS has downgraded the consumer and property sectors to "underweight." The report also notes that sustained high oil prices would benefit Chinese petroleum producers. According to UBS estimates, the average pricing of Chinese oil stocks currently reflects an oil price of $65 per barrel, significantly lower than the bank's forecast range of $90 to $100 per barrel.