Abstract

KE Holdings Inc. will release its quarterly results on November 16, 2026 post-Market. This preview synthesizes the latest quarter’s reported metrics and the company’s forecast for the current quarter, highlighting revenue, margins, EPS trends, and business segment dynamics to frame expectations and key swing factors for investors.

Market Forecast

The company’s current-quarter outlook points to revenue of 20.88 billion RMB with an estimated year-over-year change of -10.30%, estimated EBIT of 2.59 billion RMB with a year-over-year change of 188.53%, and estimated EPS of 0.63 with a year-over-year change of 72.18%. Margin forecasts were not disclosed in the outlook; market focus remains on profitability resilience and cost control, with segment demand normalization after a weaker housing cycle.

The previous report’s segment narrative suggests steady contributions from New Home Transaction Services and Existing Home Transaction Services, alongside improving monetization in rentals and home services. The most promising segment remains New Home Transaction Services, generating 14.03 billion RMB last quarter, although its year-over-year performance was not disclosed.

Last Quarter Review

The last quarter delivered revenue of 24.54 billion RMB, a gross profit margin of 28.58%, net profit attributable to the parent company of 2.62 billion RMB, a net profit margin of 10.69%, and adjusted EPS of 0.95 with a year-over-year change of 83.40%. Net profit grew quarter on quarter by 108.91%, supported by operating leverage and disciplined expense management.

Main-business contribution remained diversified: New Home Transaction Services at 14.03 billion RMB, Existing Home Transaction Services at 13.15 billion RMB, Home Rental Services at 9.85 billion RMB, Home Renovation and Furnishing at 5.53 billion RMB, and Emerging and Other Services at 0.87 billion RMB, with the prior report indicating revenue declined 5.66% year over year in aggregate.

Current Quarter Outlook

Main business trajectory

New and existing home transaction services together anchor the revenue base and are likely to track broader property market activity. The company’s forecast revenue of 20.88 billion RMB implies a sequential decline from 24.54 billion RMB, consistent with normal seasonality and an uneven recovery path in housing demand. Management’s focus appears to be on sustaining service penetration and cross-sell within the platform to defend take rates. Execution around broker productivity, platform efficiency, and regional mix should be pivotal for maintaining gross margin near the recent run-rate even as top-line growth softens.

Most promising business

New Home Transaction Services continues to look like the largest revenue contributor at 14.03 billion RMB last quarter, underpinned by developer partnerships and project pipeline breadth. While year-over-year growth data was not provided, the segment’s scale advantages and marketing solutions position it to benefit from any uptick in primary market launches. As developers rationalize inventory and seek faster sell-through, the platform’s lead-generation capabilities and data tools can support better conversion, potentially cushioning revenue volatility and stabilizing margins.

Key stock price swing factors

Profitability trends are likely to drive near-term stock moves, especially EBIT and EPS that are forecast to rise year over year even as revenue contracts. Investors will monitor conversion efficiency, cost discipline in marketing and SG&A, and the balance between growth investments and cash generation. Any signals on recovery breadth across top-tier versus lower-tier cities, and visibility into the pipeline for both new and existing home transactions, could recalibrate revenue expectations.

Analyst Opinions

The prevailing tone among recent institutional commentaries is cautiously bullish, emphasizing improving profitability metrics against a choppy revenue backdrop. Analysts highlight rising EBIT and EPS as evidence of operating discipline and healthier unit economics. They point to the platform’s scale and data-led operations as competitive strengths that can help navigate cyclical headwinds while preserving margins. The majority view anticipates stable-to-improving profitability, with attention on sequential trends and any guidance updates on transaction volumes and service penetration.