Goldman Sachs adjusted its earnings forecasts for CHINA LIFE (02628) based on its Q3 performance, noting better-than-expected investment returns. The bank raised its full-year net profit forecast by 69% and increased first-year premium forecasts for 2025–2027 by 7%, reflecting strong bancassurance sales and management's positive outlook for 2026.
Due to an expanded investment portfolio and stronger premium inflows, Goldman also raised net profit forecasts for 2026–2027 by 7%, book value forecasts for 2025–2027 by 5%–7%, and dividend per share forecasts by 10%. The projected dividend for this year is now expected to grow 23% year-on-year, surpassing the previous estimate of 12%.
The target price was raised from HK$22.5 to HK$24.5, while maintaining a "Neutral" rating.