Option Focus | Netflix’s $972,500 Long-Dated Put Buy and OTM Call Sale Signal Institutional Bearish Conviction Despite Stock’s 2.68% Rise

Option Witch
昨天

Netflix ended the session at $71.57, rising 2.68%.

The large-trade flow, however, was decidedly bearish. A $972,500 long-dated put buy dominated the session, while an out-of-the-money call sale added a second layer of downside conviction. Despite the stock’s gain, institutional positioning leaned heavily toward protection and limited upside, suggesting a cautious outlook beneath the surface momentum.

>>>Start OPTIONS trading & earn up to SGD 200 in rewards!

Options Indicators

Netflix’s implied volatility stands at 43.33%, and with an IV percentile of 66.93%, current volatility conditions sit in a broadly neutral zone rather than at an extreme. At the same time, the IV/HV ratio of 1.29 shows implied volatility is running above historical volatility, suggesting options are carrying a modest premium but are not yet in clearly expensive territory. The Call/Put volume ratio is 2.96.

Large Trades

A put buy worth $972,500 was the standout large trade, with 2,500 contracts of the March 19, 2027 $65.00 put purchased while Netflix was referenced at $71.57. This was an out-of-the-money bearish position, giving the buyer downside exposure below the strike over a long-dated horizon. The structure points to a trader paying premium for protection or for a directional bet that Netflix could weaken materially over time, and the long expiry suggests conviction in a sustained bearish thesis rather than a short-term hedge alone.

A call sale worth $25,700 was also notable, with 1,167 contracts of the October 16, 2026 $75.00 call sold. With the stock at $71.57, this call was out of the money, making it a bearish to neutral income-oriented position that benefits if Netflix remains below the strike through expiration. The trade implies the seller was comfortable capping upside in exchange for premium collection, reinforcing a view that the shares are unlikely to stage a strong rally into that level.

Overall, the large-trade flow in Netflix was clearly bearish. The order flow was dominated by put buying, led by the sizable long-dated $65.00 put purchase, while the additional call selling further supported a cautious to negative outlook. Taken together, the bulk activity suggests institutions were more focused on downside exposure and defensive positioning than on upside participation, indicating a market stance that expects weakness or at least limited upside in Netflix.

Strategy Reference

For traders seeking low assignment probability on the call side, selling the October 16, 2026 $75.00 call or a higher strike with a lower delta could align with the bearish flow, while a bear put spread using the March 19, 2027 $65.00/$55.00 puts may offer defined risk for those wary of posting large margin on a standalone long put.

免責聲明:投資有風險,本文並非投資建議,以上內容不應被視為任何金融產品的購買或出售要約、建議或邀請,作者或其他用戶的任何相關討論、評論或帖子也不應被視為此類內容。本文僅供一般參考,不考慮您的個人投資目標、財務狀況或需求。TTM對信息的準確性和完整性不承擔任何責任或保證,投資者應自行研究並在投資前尋求專業建議。

熱議股票

  1. 1
     
     
     
     
  2. 2
     
     
     
     
  3. 3
     
     
     
     
  4. 4
     
     
     
     
  5. 5
     
     
     
     
  6. 6
     
     
     
     
  7. 7
     
     
     
     
  8. 8
     
     
     
     
  9. 9
     
     
     
     
  10. 10