On June 24, China Tourism Group Duty Free (01880.HK) fell 3.09% in regular trading, trading at HKD 50.15/share with turnover of HKD 20.03 million, extending a multi-day streak of weakness.

On the capital flow front, institutional funds have recorded net outflows exceeding RMB 1.5 billion over the trailing 10-day period, with sustained selling pressure from major holders. The broader specialty retail sector also ranks among the top sectors experiencing fund outflows.

Multiple structural factors continue to weigh on the company's valuation: duty-free license expansion has ended the firm's exclusive monopoly; Hainan's free-trade port closure has diluted its pricing advantage as competitors flood in; and luxury brands including LV, Dior, La Mer, and SK-II are accelerating direct-to-consumer and online channels, compressing the company's margin as a middleman. Additionally, weakening domestic demand for high-ticket categories such as leather goods and watches, combined with outbound tourism diversion and elevated costs, have contributed to consecutive years of profit decline — with net income falling 15.96% year-over-year in fiscal 2025 to RMB 3.586 billion, down nearly 63% from its 2021 peak.

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