Stock Track | ZTO Express Soars 5.03% Pre-Market as China Moves to Curb "Involutionary" Competition in Express Delivery

Stock Track
08/01

ZTO Express Inc. (ZTO) stock surged 5.03% in pre-market trading on Friday, as investors reacted positively to recent regulatory moves aimed at addressing "involutionary" competition in China's express delivery industry. The stock's upward movement comes in the wake of a symposium convened by the State Post Bureau with express delivery companies, signaling a potential shift towards more sustainable industry practices.

The symposium, held on July 29, focused on legally regulating the industry's intense competition and addressing issues such as irregular charging for parcel collection in rural areas. This move is part of a broader effort to promote high-quality development within the sector. In response to these regulatory calls, several regions have already initiated price increases. Notably, Yiwu Postal Administration added a 0.1 yuan increase to the existing 1.1 yuan base price, while Guangdong Postal Administration has mandated price increases starting August 1, with an expected magnitude of 0.2-0.3 yuan.

Analysts are optimistic about the potential impact of these developments. Huayuan Securities suggests that the industry may see a transformation from price wars to value wars, leading to long-term improvement in express delivery companies' performance. Zheshang Securities predicts that as the industry moves out of its off-season and into the peak season in September, prices are expected to stabilize and rebound, potentially improving operating conditions for franchise operators and leading to a phased recovery in express delivery performance and sector sentiment. This regulatory-driven shift towards more balanced competition could significantly benefit major players like ZTO Express, explaining the market's positive reaction reflected in the stock's pre-market surge.

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