Option Focus | Circle Internet Sees Bullish Call Spread Targeting 88-92 Strikes into 2026 Despite Stock Dropping 5.60% Today

Option Witch
10/15

Circle Internet closed at 79.55 USD, down 5.60%.

The session’s most notable flow was a bullish call spread in 2026 expiration, with a net debit of $26,800.00 targeting the 88.00–92.00 strike zone. Despite the decline, bulk-order activity leaned constructive, as the only highlighted block was an out-of-the-money call spread bought rather than sold, suggesting a trader paid premium to position for upside while keeping risk defined into next year.

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Options Indicators

Circle Internet’s implied volatility is 80.80%, while its IV percentile stands at 24.70%, which places current volatility expectations in the lower end of its own historical range. In other words, even though the absolute IV level is high, options are still relatively cheaply priced versus where Circle Internet’s implied volatility has typically traded, and the IV/HV ratio of 1.58 suggests implied volatility remains meaningfully above realized volatility.

The Call/Put volume ratio is 1.73.

Large Trades

A call spread package with a net debit of $26,800.00 was the standout large trade, structured as a four-leg position that effectively combines long 88.0 calls and short 92.0 calls expiring on 2026-10-16. Because the package contains both Buy Call and Sell Call legs, it is best identified as a call spread strategy, and its size should be measured by the provided net debit of $26,800.00 rather than the gross leg totals. With the stock reference price at 79.55, both the 88.0 and 92.0 call strikes were out of the money at execution, showing a bullish directional bet that targets upside into expiration while capping gains above 92.0. The net debit structure indicates the trader paid premium for upside exposure, suggesting a defined-risk bullish view rather than premium collection.

Overall, the large-trade flow in CRCL leans bullish. The only highlighted block was an out-of-the-money call spread bought for a net debit, which points to a trader willing to spend premium to position for higher prices over time while keeping risk controlled. That combination of long upside exposure, defined loss, and capped profit potential typically reflects constructive sentiment rather than aggressive speculation, so the bulk-order activity suggests moderately bullish expectations for CRCL.

Strategy Reference

For a low assignment probability, a seller could consider the 60.00 put strike in the same 2026-10-16 expiration, or use a 65.00/60.00 bull put spread if one prefers not to post too much margin.

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