CH Offshore Ltd. (SGX:C13) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 32% after a shaky period beforehand. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 16% over that time.
Although its price has surged higher, it's still not a stretch to say that CH Offshore's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.1x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the Energy Services industry in Singapore, where the median P/S ratio is around 0.9x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.
View our latest analysis for CH Offshore
CH Offshore certainly has been doing a great job lately as it's been growing its revenue at a really rapid pace. Perhaps the market is expecting future revenue performance to taper off, which has kept the P/S from rising. Those who are bullish on CH Offshore will be hoping that this isn't the case, so that they can pick up the stock at a lower valuation.
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on CH Offshore's earnings, revenue and cash flow.The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/S like CH Offshore's is when the company's growth is tracking the industry closely.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew revenue by an impressive 72% last year. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 118% overall rise in revenue, aided by its short-term performance. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company.
Comparing that to the industry, which is only predicted to deliver 14% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is stronger based on recent medium-term annualised revenue results.
In light of this, it's curious that CH Offshore's P/S sits in line with the majority of other companies. It may be that most investors are not convinced the company can maintain its recent growth rates.
Its shares have lifted substantially and now CH Offshore's P/S is back within range of the industry median. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
To our surprise, CH Offshore revealed its three-year revenue trends aren't contributing to its P/S as much as we would have predicted, given they look better than current industry expectations. There could be some unobserved threats to revenue preventing the P/S ratio from matching this positive performance. While recent revenue trends over the past medium-term suggest that the risk of a price decline is low, investors appear to see the likelihood of revenue fluctuations in the future.
Having said that, be aware CH Offshore is showing 1 warning sign in our investment analysis, you should know about.
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