When you see that almost half of the companies in the Consumer Durables industry in Hong Kong have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 0.4x, Chervon Holdings Limited (HKG:2285) looks to be giving off some sell signals with its 1x P/S ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the elevated P/S.
View our latest analysis for Chervon Holdings
Recent times haven't been great for Chervon Holdings as its revenue has been falling quicker than most other companies. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is high because investors think the company will turn things around completely and accelerate past most others in the industry. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Chervon Holdings will help you uncover what's on the horizon.There's an inherent assumption that a company should outperform the industry for P/S ratios like Chervon Holdings' to be considered reasonable.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 16% decrease to the company's top line. As a result, revenue from three years ago have also fallen 6.6% overall. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.
Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 22% during the coming year according to the twelve analysts following the company. With the industry only predicted to deliver 12%, the company is positioned for a stronger revenue result.
With this information, we can see why Chervon Holdings is trading at such a high P/S compared to the industry. Apparently shareholders aren't keen to offload something that is potentially eyeing a more prosperous future.
Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
We've established that Chervon Holdings maintains its high P/S on the strength of its forecasted revenue growth being higher than the the rest of the Consumer Durables industry, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for a deterioration in revenues is quite remote, justifying the elevated P/S ratio. Unless the analysts have really missed the mark, these strong revenue forecasts should keep the share price buoyant.
Many other vital risk factors can be found on the company's balance sheet. Take a look at our free balance sheet analysis for Chervon Holdings with six simple checks on some of these key factors.
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