Chorus Limited's (NZSE:CNU) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 3.8x may look like a poor investment opportunity when you consider close to half the companies in the Telecom industry in New Zealand have P/S ratios below 1.1x. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.
Check out our latest analysis for Chorus
There hasn't been much to differentiate Chorus' and the industry's revenue growth lately. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is high because investors think this modest revenue performance will accelerate. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
Keen to find out how analysts think Chorus' future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the industry for P/S ratios like Chorus' to be considered reasonable.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a decent 3.1% gain to the company's revenues. Revenue has also lifted 5.8% in aggregate from three years ago, partly thanks to the last 12 months of growth. So we can start by confirming that the company has actually done a good job of growing revenue over that time.
Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 2.9% per annum during the coming three years according to the six analysts following the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to expand by 3.3% per annum, which is not materially different.
With this information, we find it interesting that Chorus is trading at a high P/S compared to the industry. Apparently many investors in the company are more bullish than analysts indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. These shareholders may be setting themselves up for disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.
It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
Analysts are forecasting Chorus' revenues to only grow on par with the rest of the industry, which has lead to the high P/S ratio being unexpected. Right now we are uncomfortable with the relatively high share price as the predicted future revenues aren't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. A positive change is needed in order to justify the current price-to-sales ratio.
Plus, you should also learn about these 2 warning signs we've spotted with Chorus.
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