The market was pleased with the recent earnings report from Genie Energy Ltd. (NYSE:GNE), despite the profit numbers being soft. We think that investors might be looking at some positive factors beyond the earnings numbers.
Check out our latest analysis for Genie Energy
One key financial ratio used to measure how well a company converts its profit to free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio. To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. This ratio tells us how much of a company's profit is not backed by free cashflow.
As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. That is not intended to imply we should worry about a positive accrual ratio, but it's worth noting where the accrual ratio is rather high. Notably, there is some academic evidence that suggests that a high accrual ratio is a bad sign for near-term profits, generally speaking.
For the year to September 2024, Genie Energy had an accrual ratio of -0.79. Therefore, its statutory earnings were very significantly less than its free cashflow. To wit, it produced free cash flow of US$55m during the period, dwarfing its reported profit of US$3.37m. Genie Energy did see its free cash flow drop year on year, which is less than ideal, like a Simpson's episode without Groundskeeper Willie.
Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Genie Energy.
As we discussed above, Genie Energy's accrual ratio indicates strong conversion of profit to free cash flow, which is a positive for the company. Based on this observation, we consider it possible that Genie Energy's statutory profit actually understates its earnings potential! Unfortunately, though, its earnings per share actually fell back over the last year. Of course, we've only just scratched the surface when it comes to analysing its earnings; one could also consider margins, forecast growth, and return on investment, among other factors. If you want to do dive deeper into Genie Energy, you'd also look into what risks it is currently facing. You'd be interested to know, that we found 4 warning signs for Genie Energy and you'll want to know about these bad boys.
Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of Genie Energy's profit. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with significant insider holdings to be useful.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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