We can readily understand why investors are attracted to unprofitable companies. For example, although software-as-a-service business Salesforce.com lost money for years while it grew recurring revenue, if you held shares since 2005, you'd have done very well indeed. Nonetheless, only a fool would ignore the risk that a loss making company burns through its cash too quickly.
Given this risk, we thought we'd take a look at whether Twist Bioscience (NASDAQ:TWST) shareholders should be worried about its cash burn. In this article, we define cash burn as its annual (negative) free cash flow, which is the amount of money a company spends each year to fund its growth. The first step is to compare its cash burn with its cash reserves, to give us its 'cash runway'.
View our latest analysis for Twist Bioscience
You can calculate a company's cash runway by dividing the amount of cash it has by the rate at which it is spending that cash. When Twist Bioscience last reported its September 2024 balance sheet in November 2024, it had zero debt and cash worth US$276m. Looking at the last year, the company burnt through US$69m. Therefore, from September 2024 it had 4.0 years of cash runway. Importantly, analysts think that Twist Bioscience will reach cashflow breakeven in 5 years. That means unless the company reduces its cash burn quickly, it may well look to raise more cash. You can see how its cash balance has changed over time in the image below.
Happily, Twist Bioscience is travelling in the right direction when it comes to its cash burn, which is down 59% over the last year. And revenue is up 28% in that same period; also a good sign. It seems to be growing nicely. While the past is always worth studying, it is the future that matters most of all. For that reason, it makes a lot of sense to take a look at our analyst forecasts for the company.
While Twist Bioscience seems to be in a decent position, we reckon it is still worth thinking about how easily it could raise more cash, if that proved desirable. Generally speaking, a listed business can raise new cash through issuing shares or taking on debt. Many companies end up issuing new shares to fund future growth. By looking at a company's cash burn relative to its market capitalisation, we gain insight on how much shareholders would be diluted if the company needed to raise enough cash to cover another year's cash burn.
Twist Bioscience's cash burn of US$69m is about 2.4% of its US$2.9b market capitalisation. That means it could easily issue a few shares to fund more growth, and might well be in a position to borrow cheaply.
As you can probably tell by now, we're not too worried about Twist Bioscience's cash burn. For example, we think its cash runway suggests that the company is on a good path. And even its revenue growth was very encouraging. One real positive is that analysts are forecasting that the company will reach breakeven. After considering a range of factors in this article, we're pretty relaxed about its cash burn, since the company seems to be in a good position to continue to fund its growth. An in-depth examination of risks revealed 3 warning signs for Twist Bioscience that readers should think about before committing capital to this stock.
Of course Twist Bioscience may not be the best stock to buy. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with high insider ownership.
Discover if Twist Bioscience might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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