When close to half the companies in Australia have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 19x, you may consider Ramsay Health Care Limited (ASX:RHC) as a stock to avoid entirely with its 30.5x P/E ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/E.
Ramsay Health Care hasn't been tracking well recently as its declining earnings compare poorly to other companies, which have seen some growth on average. One possibility is that the P/E is high because investors think this poor earnings performance will turn the corner. If not, then existing shareholders may be extremely nervous about the viability of the share price.
See our latest analysis for Ramsay Health Care
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as steep as Ramsay Health Care's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the market decidedly.
If we review the last year of earnings, dishearteningly the company's profits fell to the tune of 4.5%. As a result, earnings from three years ago have also fallen 43% overall. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been undesirable for the company.
Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 25% per annum as estimated by the analysts watching the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to only expand by 19% per year, which is noticeably less attractive.
With this information, we can see why Ramsay Health Care is trading at such a high P/E compared to the market. It seems most investors are expecting this strong future growth and are willing to pay more for the stock.
While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.
We've established that Ramsay Health Care maintains its high P/E on the strength of its forecast growth being higher than the wider market, as expected. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/E as they are quite confident future earnings aren't under threat. It's hard to see the share price falling strongly in the near future under these circumstances.
You always need to take note of risks, for example - Ramsay Health Care has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.
Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking at a few good candidates. So take a peek at this free list of companies with a strong growth track record, trading on a low P/E.
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