South Korea's Economic Outlook Dims as Risks Mount -- Market Talk

Dow Jones

2025/01/23

0609 GMT - Rising risks facing South Korea's economy prompt UOB Global Economics & Markets Research to cut its 2025 growth forecast to 1.7% from 2.0%. The economy disappointed in 4Q, and has been sequentially flat in the last three quarters, failing to sustain the recovery seen earlier in the year, Ho Woei Chen says. While semiconductor production and investment offer tailwinds, uncertainties from U.S. tariffs and domestic political turmoil look significantly negative. Following a dovish pause this month, UOB expects BOK to make a 25bp cut in February. A prolonged political crisis would boost the risk of a deeper cut to limit economic fallout. Conversely, a shallower U.S. easing cycle could limit BOK's room for easing. For now, UOB factors in a total of 50 bps in BOK cuts this year. (fabiana.negrinochoa@wsj.com)

(END) Dow Jones Newswires

January 23, 2025 01:09 ET (06:09 GMT)

應版權方要求，你需要登入查看該內容

登入 / 註冊

免責聲明：投資有風險，本文並非投資建議，以上內容不應被視為任何金融產品的購買或出售要約、建議或邀請，作者或其他用戶的任何相關討論、評論或帖子也不應被視為此類內容。本文僅供一般參考，不考慮您的個人投資目標、財務狀況或需求。TTM對信息的準確性和完整性不承擔任何責任或保證，投資者應自行研究並在投資前尋求專業建議。

熱議股票

{"basename":"/hant","ssrTDKData":{"titleTemplate":"%s - 老虎證券","title":"老虎证券全球投资理财平台| 一站式投资美股新股港股A股","description":"老虎证券助您一站式投资美股，新股，港股，A股等全球金融理财产品。新加坡华人最信赖的在线投资平台，现在加入即享低费用，24/5 无时差炒美股投资理财！","keywords":"老虎證券,老虎證券開戶,老虎券商,老虎證券官網,老虎證券app,tigertrade老虎證券,股票,炒股,新加坡股票交易平臺,投資,投資理財","social":{"ogDescription":"老虎证券助您一站式投资美股，新股，港股，A股等全球金融理财产品。新加坡华人最信赖的在线投资平台，现在加入即享低费用，24/5 无时差炒美股投资理财！","ogImage":"https://c1.itigergrowtha.com/portal5/static/media/og-logo.be62fbe1.png","ogUrl":"https://www.itiger.com/hant/news/2505056237"},"companyName":"老虎證券"},"pageData":{"isMobile":false,"isTiger":false,"isTTM":true,"region":"SGP","license":"TBSG","edition":"fundamental"},"isCrawlerRequest":true,"__swrFallback__":{"@#url:\"https://stock-news.skytigris.cn/v3/news\",params:#id:\"2505056237\",edition:\"fundamental\",auth_exemption:1,,,undefined,":{"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2505056237?lang=zh_TW&edition=fundamental","thumbnail":"","is_english":true,"pubTime":"2025-01-23 14:09","share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","id":"2505056237","market":"us","top_or_hot":-1,"title":"South Korea's Economic Outlook Dims as Risks Mount -- Market Talk","media":"Dow Jones","content":"<font class=\"NormalMinus1\" face=\"Arial\">\n<p>\n     0609 GMT - Rising risks facing South Korea's economy prompt UOB Global Economics &amp; Markets Research to cut its 2025 growth forecast to 1.7% from 2.0%. The economy disappointed in 4Q, and has been sequentially flat in the last three quarters, failing to sustain the recovery seen earlier in the year, Ho Woei Chen says. While semiconductor production and investment offer tailwinds, uncertainties from U.S. tariffs and domestic political turmoil look significantly negative. Following a dovish pause this month, UOB expects BOK to make a 25bp cut in February. A prolonged political crisis would boost the risk of a deeper cut to limit economic fallout. Conversely, a shallower U.S. easing cycle could limit BOK's room for easing. For now, UOB factors in a total of 50 bps in BOK cuts this year. (fabiana.negrinochoa@wsj.com) \n</p>\n<pre>\n \n</pre>\n<p>\n  (END) Dow Jones Newswires\n</p>\n<p>\n  January 23, 2025 01:09 ET (06:09 GMT)\n</p>\n<p>\n  Copyright (c) 2025 Dow Jones &amp; Company, Inc.\n</p>\n</font>","source":null,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>South Korea's Economic Outlook Dims as Risks Mount -- Market Talk</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSouth Korea's Economic Outlook Dims as Risks Mount -- Market Talk\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Dow Jones </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2025-01-23 14:09</p>\n</div>\n</div>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<font class=\"NormalMinus1\" face=\"Arial\">\n<p>\n     0609 GMT - Rising risks facing South Korea's economy prompt UOB Global Economics &amp; Markets Research to cut its 2025 growth forecast to 1.7% from 2.0%. The economy disappointed in 4Q, and has been sequentially flat in the last three quarters, failing to sustain the recovery seen earlier in the year, Ho Woei Chen says. While semiconductor production and investment offer tailwinds, uncertainties from U.S. tariffs and domestic political turmoil look significantly negative. Following a dovish pause this month, UOB expects BOK to make a 25bp cut in February. A prolonged political crisis would boost the risk of a deeper cut to limit economic fallout. Conversely, a shallower U.S. easing cycle could limit BOK's room for easing. For now, UOB factors in a total of 50 bps in BOK cuts this year. (fabiana.negrinochoa@wsj.com) \n</p>\n<pre>\n \n</pre>\n<p>\n  (END) Dow Jones Newswires\n</p>\n<p>\n  January 23, 2025 01:09 ET (06:09 GMT)\n</p>\n<p>\n  Copyright (c) 2025 Dow Jones &amp; Company, Inc.\n</p>\n</font>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","isBrief":false,"type":0,"news_type":1,"symbol":"SG9999000475.SGD","symbol_name":"Aberdeen Standard Singapore Equity SGD","start_time":0,"source_url":"https://dowjonesnews.com/newdjn/logon.aspx?AL=N","article_id":"2505056237","we_media_id":"106","thumbnails":[],"rights":null,"url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2505056237","pubTimestamp":1737612540,"columns":[],"sourceInfo":null,"weMediaInfo":{"media_name":"Dow Jones","introduction":"Dow Jones publishes the world’s most trusted business news and financial information in a variety of media.","home_visible":0,"id":"106","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99"},"summary":"Copyright (c) 2025 Dow Jones & Company, Inc.","collect":0,"end_time":0,"defaultTopTitle":"","property":[],"viewcount":null,"language":"en","relate_stocks":{"SG9999000475.SGD":"Aberdeen Standard Singapore Equity SGD","SG9999013486.USD":"LIONGLOBAL SINGAPORE DIVIDEND EQUITY (USD) INC A","SG9999013460.SGD":"LionGlobal Singapore Dividend Equity Fund SGD","LU0577902538.SGD":"Fullerton Lux Funds - Asia Growth and Income Equities A Acc SGD","SG9999014302.SGD":"RHB Singapore Income Fund SGD","SG9999013478.USD":"利安新加坡股息基金","SG9999000343.SGD":"Schroder Singapore Trust A Dis SGD","SG9999004360.SGD":"Nikko AM Shenton Thrift Fund SGD","SG9999008742.SGD":"Eastspring Investments Unit Trusts - Singapore ASEAN Equity SGD","LU1242518931.SGD":"Fullerton Lux Funds - Asia Absolute Alpha A Acc SGD","LU0955669360.SGD":"Schroder ISF Asian Dividend Maximiser A Dis SGD","SG9999006266.SGD":"MANULIFE SINGAPORE EQUITY \"A\" (SGD) ACC","LU0264606111.USD":"Janus Henderson Horizon Asian Dividend Income A2 USD","LU0588545904.SGD":"Eastspring Investments - Asian Equity Income ASDM SGD","LU1988902786.USD":"FULLERTON LUX FUNDS GLOBAL ABSOLUTE ALPHA \"I\" (USD) ACC","LU0873338254.USD":"FULLERTON LUX FUNDS - ASIA GROWTH & INCOME EQUITIE \"I\" (USD) INC","LU0878005551.USD":"UBS (LUX) KEY SELEC ASIA ALLOCATION OPPORTUNITY (USD) \"P\" (USD) ACC","LU0738912210.USD":"Blackrock Asia Pacific Equity Income A6 USD","SGXZ27511609.SGD":"NIKKO AM SINGAPORE DIVIDEND EQUITY \"SGD\" (SGD) ACC","LU0737861269.HKD":"FIDELITY ASEAN \"A \" (HKD) ACC","LU0261945553.USD":"FIDELITY ASEAN \"A\" ACC","SG9999002620.SGD":"LionGlobal South East Asia SGD","LU0516422366.SGD":"Fullerton Lux Funds - Asia Focus Equities A Acc SGD","LU0898667661.SGD":"JPMorgan Funds - Asia Pacific Income A (mth) SGD-H","LU0048597586.USD":"富达亚洲焦点A","LU0532188223.SGD":"JPMorgan Funds - ASEAN Equity A (acc) SGD","SG9999001135.SGD":"United ASEAN Fund SGD","LU0572939691.SGD":"Janus Henderson Horizon Asian Dividend Income A2 SGD","LU1105468828.SGD":"Allianz Total Return Asian Equity AM DIS H2-SGD","LU2264538146.SGD":"Fullerton Lux Funds - Global Absolute Alpha A Acc SGD","LU0865486749.SGD":"Eastspring Investments - Asian Equity Income AS SGD-H","LU0979878070.USD":"FULLERTON LUX FUNDS - ASIA ABSOLUTE ALPHA \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU0918141887.USD":"安联亚洲实际收益股票基金","SG9999014492.USD":"NIKKO AM ASEAN EQUITY \"A\" (USD) ACC","SG9999001127.SGD":"United Singapore Growth Fund SGD","SGXZ58947870.SGD":"LIONGLOBAL SINGAPORE DIVIDEND EQUITY (SGDHDG) INC","BK6516":"银行与投资服务概念","SG9999014484.SGD":"Nikko AM ASEAN Equity Fund A SGD","SG9999002414.USD":"LIONGLOBAL SINGAPORE TRUST (USD) ACC","LU2152927971.USD":"NORDEA 1 ASIAN STARS EQUITY \"BP\" (USD) ACC","LU0516422440.USD":"FULLERTON LUX FUNDS - ASIA FOCUS EQUITIES \"A\" (USD) ACC","SG9999004220.SGD":"Nikko AM Shenton Asia Dividend Equity Fund  SGD","SG9999002679.SGD":"LionGlobal Singapore Balanced SGD","LU0315178854.USD":"EASTSPRING INVESTMENTS ASIAN EQUITY INCOME \"A\" ACC","LU0516423174.USD":"FULLERTON LUX FUNDS - ASIA FOCUS EQUITIES \"I\" (USD) ACC","LU0831103253.SGD":"JPMorgan Funds - Asia Pacific Income A (mth) SGD","SG9999002406.SGD":"利安新加坡信托基金","U11.SI":"大华银行","LU0516422952.EUR":"FULLERTON LUX FUNDS - ASIA FOCUS EQUITIES \"I\" (EUR) ACC","LU0251144936.SGD":"Fidelity Sustainable Asia Equity A-SGD"},"translate_title":"随着风险上升，韩国经济前景黯淡——市场讨论","themeId":null,"isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":null,"symbols_score_info":{"U11.SI":0.9},"content_text":"0609 GMT - Rising risks facing South Korea's economy prompt UOB Global Economics & Markets Research to cut its 2025 growth forecast to 1.7% from 2.0%. The economy disappointed in 4Q, and has been sequentially flat in the last three quarters, failing to sustain the recovery seen earlier in the year, Ho Woei Chen says. While semiconductor production and investment offer tailwinds, uncertainties from U.S. tariffs and domestic political turmoil look significantly negative. Following a dovish pause this month, UOB expects BOK to make a 25bp cut in February. A prolonged political crisis would boost the risk of a deeper cut to limit economic fallout. Conversely, a shallower U.S. easing cycle could limit BOK's room for easing. For now, UOB factors in a total of 50 bps in BOK cuts this year. (fabiana.negrinochoa@wsj.com) \n\n\n \n\n\n  (END) Dow Jones Newswires\n\n\n  January 23, 2025 01:09 ET (06:09 GMT)\n\n\n  Copyright (c) 2025 Dow Jones & Company, Inc.","kind":"highlight","is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":false,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"-1","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":0,"need_auth":true,"code":"91000000","status":"200"}}}